0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338
0x58e80dd4a5c365ba380795103f5e0963a287bb5a
- Realised P&L
- $202.75
- Volume
- $24.4k
- Markets traded
- 674
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded674
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.32at 0.082Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$14.40at 0.160Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
- +$13.02at 0.071Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
- +$11.00at 0.080Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
- +$11.00at 0.197Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 17:39 | Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 07-24 14:23 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 07-11 13:03 | Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-02 14:09 | Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 04:27 | Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 06-29 03:47 | Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 06-24 03:55 | Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 06-22 03:36 | Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 06-18 07:27 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |