PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338

0x58e80dd4a5c365ba380795103f5e0963a287bb5a

Realised P&L
$969.83
Volume
$56.9k
Markets traded
1,532
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,532
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ThreadGuy appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · Yes0.3590.162$106.47−$130.33
Love Wins: 2026 Edition · Yes0.3920.150$30.48−$49.21
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2380.160$24.00−$11.70
Will Decibel launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3740.530$21.20+$6.25
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1320.126$20.71−$1.14
Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.4120.455$18.20+$1.70
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record? · Yes0.6380.180$18.00−$45.80
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? · Yes0.1290.141$16.41+$1.41
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? · No0.6500.490$14.70−$4.80
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31? · Yes0.2560.210$13.65−$3.00
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3280.102$12.06−$26.76
X banned in any European country by December 31? · Yes0.1210.120$11.80−$0.07
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.2800.180$11.70−$6.50
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? · Yes0.1220.120$10.55−$0.16
António Guterres out by December 31? · Yes0.4380.235$9.76−$8.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 00:34Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?BUY0.23$1.15
10-29 19:01Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?BUY0.49$2.45
10-29 04:30Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.21$1.05
09-25 19:39Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?BUY0.36$1.80
09-22 02:46Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?SELL0.52$2.60
09-21 08:03Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.136$0.68
09-16 03:18Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.48$2.40
08-31 06:07Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?BUY0.32$1.60
07-26 17:39Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?BUY0.31$1.55
07-24 14:23Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.26$1.30
07-11 13:03Will France pass a national budget by December 31?BUY0.51$2.55
07-02 14:09Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?BUY0.2$1.00
06-29 04:27Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.29$1.45
06-29 03:47Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.55$2.75
06-24 03:55Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?BUY0.28$1.40