0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338
0x58e80dd4a5c365ba380795103f5e0963a287bb5a
- Realised P&L
- $969.83
- Volume
- $56.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,532
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,532
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.13at 0.025Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?
- +$17.97at 0.041Will Papertrade launch a token by June 30, 2027?
- +$15.29at 0.082Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$13.33at 0.034Will Cambria launch a token by June 30, 2027?
- +$12.95at 0.071Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 00:34 | Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-29 19:01 | Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-29 04:30 | Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-25 19:39 | Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-22 02:46 | Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-21 08:03 | Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.136 | $0.68 |
| 09-16 03:18 | Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 08-31 06:07 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 07-26 17:39 | Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 07-24 14:23 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 07-11 13:03 | Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 07-02 14:09 | Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 04:27 | Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 06-29 03:47 | Ostium FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 06-24 03:55 | Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |