POB1
0xb4312ab2ec8f25bc6686e726022c083f08a582ec
- Realised P&L
- $-13.5k
- Volume
- $840.0k
- Markets traded
- 12,833
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12,833
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$609.84at 0.694Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$607.20at 0.709Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
- +$601.09at 0.500Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
- +$514.60at 0.500US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
- +$487.71at 0.685Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 15:26 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.51% in September? | BUY | 0.84 | $25.00 |
| 09-08 14:10 | Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? | SELL | 0.939 | $8.08 |
| 09-08 14:09 | Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | SELL | 0.1123342434 | $17.28 |
| 08-18 21:02 | Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | SELL | 0.5 | $18.02 |
| 08-15 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 08-13 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.0664285714 | $0.93 |
| 08-13 15:23 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.99 |
| 08-13 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 13? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 08-13 14:52 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 08-13 14:42 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 08-13 14:33 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.45 |
| 08-13 14:23 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 08-13 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-13 13:38 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 08-13 13:13 | Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |