Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.045. up 0.020 over the period, from 0.025. Range 0.025 to 0.049. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.064	24	24
0.065	23	47
0.088	11	58
0.089	106	164
0.090	248	412
0.182	75	487
0.427	58	545
0.428	5	550
0.430	25	575
0.440	40	615
0.449	50	665
0.500	21	686

Spread0.038Mid0.045

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.026	30	30
0.025	78	108
0.024	93	201
0.023	1,027	1,227
0.014	20	1,247
0.013	2,174	3,421
0.011	8	3,429
0.010	100	3,529
0.004	51	3,580
0.003	1,072	4,652
0.002	385	5,037
0.001	518	5,555

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.974	30	30
0.975	78	108
0.976	93	201
0.977	1,027	1,227
0.986	20	1,247
0.987	2,174	3,421
0.989	8	3,429
0.990	100	3,529
0.996	51	3,580
0.997	1,072	4,652
0.998	385	5,037
0.999	518	5,555

Spread0.038Mid0.955

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.936	24	24
0.935	23	47
0.912	11	58
0.911	106	164
0.910	248	412
0.818	75	487
0.573	58	545
0.572	5	550
0.570	25	575
0.560	40	615
0.551	50	665
0.500	21	686

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
maria.masullo	Yes	1,634
LornaPredicts	Yes	342.16
Oklmntrader	Yes	247.62
iutwpfal	Yes	242.81
hithitfar	Yes	155.59
Dr.PNL	Yes	142.92
DatosNoRelatos	Yes	128.74
planktonXD	Yes	121.62
HerrieDavis	Yes	116.1
thecaricature	Yes	109
0x5533…51ba	Yes	106.05
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338	Yes	75
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	58.4
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	58
AJSV	Yes	55.05
tradetosurvive1	Yes	50
Thanevor	Yes	50
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	40
TerranSupremacy	Yes	39.97
knowerofmarkets	Yes	31.22

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:40:40	SELL	Yes	0.025	6	$0.15
01:51:58	BUY	No	0.975	10	$9.75
15:06:03	SELL	Yes	0.026	15	$0.38
05:21:25	SELL	Yes	0.027	9	$0.25
05:21:25	BUY	No	0.972	36	$34.72
19:43:04	BUY	No	0.9729999937	2	$2.00
15:02:54	SELL	Yes	0.0247410618	46	$1.14
12:55:10	SELL	Yes	0.025	9	$0.23
13:45:04	BUY	No	0.978	6	$6.00
13:37:28	BUY	Yes	0.0599999988	17	$1.00
03:42:30	BUY	Yes	0.0388388085	129	$5.00
00:10:01	BUY	Yes	0.0339999997	29	$1.00
17:07:55	SELL	Yes	0.019	44	$0.84
17:07:54	SELL	Yes	0.02	30	$0.60
17:07:49	SELL	Yes	0.0356911325	304	$10.86
14:05:34	BUY	Yes	0.037	16	$0.60
14:15:12	BUY	Yes	0.0369999754	38	$1.40
16:33:09	BUY	Yes	0.064	16	$1.02
14:25:57	BUY	Yes	0.0499121583	365	$18.24
02:40:42	SELL	Yes	0.04	51	$2.04
02:40:36	SELL	Yes	0.042	2	$0.09
02:40:36	SELL	Yes	0.0432573536	224	$9.68
17:47:55	SELL	No	0.932	10	$9.41
15:07:10	SELL	No	0.932	5	$4.52
15:01:19	SELL	No	0.9468608321	35	$33.00