PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Thanevor

0xe63389f0f1882942bfa1b211027cb0f9a77bc0fe

Realised P&L
$463.54
Volume
$201.6k
Markets traded
464
Open portfolio
$838.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded464
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8940.955$210.10+$13.50
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9370.958$191.54+$4.11
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8210.935$187.23+$22.81
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6160.515$161.89$31.75
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.5000.425$85.00$15.00
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4000.033$1.63$18.38
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6900.025$1.27$33.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 18:56Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4149999851$10.00
07-17 20:34Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.409999991$10.00
07-17 20:34France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.6599999842$10.00
07-14 15:58France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5799999861$10.00
07-14 15:56France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.32$5.00
07-14 15:56France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.6$10.00
07-13 20:04England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.449999955$5.00
07-13 03:32England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.529999965$5.00
07-11 22:40France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.599999976$5.00
07-08 16:20Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2699999681$5.00
07-07 23:29Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3499999615$5.00
07-07 23:29Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2599999646$5.00
07-06 19:08United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5399999966$45.00
07-05 17:08Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.86$5.00
07-05 16:58United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5199999834$5.00