maria.masullo
0x7d490dbf97e703d01da643b1674c595261244f7c
- Realised P&L
- $-21.3k
- Volume
- $989.5k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $73.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.045 | $73.53 | −$106.21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? · Up | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$662.77 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14? · Down | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.00 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.566 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.06 |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| XRP Up or Down on May 19? · Up | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.3kat 0.250Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 25 at 5PM ET?
- +$5.8kat 0.471Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?
- +$2.9kat 0.659Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on July 25?
- +$1.9kat 0.040Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$1.5kat 0.035Will the price of Solana be between $180 and $190 on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 11:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $9.87 |
| 07-31 10:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $652.91 |
| 07-29 07:22 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $52.51 |
| 07-29 07:22 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $41.55 |
| 07-29 07:17 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $60.15 |
| 07-29 07:12 | Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $179.74 |
| 07-25 12:33 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $308.76 |
| 07-25 12:31 | Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $296.81 |
| 05-23 13:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.93 |
| 05-23 13:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23? | BUY | 0.005 | $6.16 |
| 05-21 15:34 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 21? | BUY | 0.06 | $150.69 |
| 05-21 13:17 | Ethereum Up or Down on May 21? | BUY | 0.1399999997 | $300.00 |
| 05-19 14:25 | XRP Up or Down on May 19? | BUY | 0.2799999981 | $100.00 |
| 05-19 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | SELL | 0.3671242912 | $731.64 |
| 05-19 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19? | BUY | 0.1855964275 | $500.00 |