knowerofmarkets
0xf1fddaa5047e7ea0188ecebf8effb2a3a6edb42c
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $75.4k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.891Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
- +$911.45at 0.741Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
- +$782.39at 0.494Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?
- +$568.46at 0.735Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
- +$408.74at 0.682Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 08:14 | Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $21.60 |
| 07-07 08:09 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.86 | $516.00 |
| 07-05 15:48 | Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 07-05 15:48 | Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.21 |
| 07-05 15:39 | Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $23.80 |
| 07-05 15:30 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? | BUY | 0.18 | $11.70 |
| 07-05 15:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.687 | $20.43 |
| 06-27 09:52 | Will Claude go down 12+ times in June? | BUY | 0.99 | $18.89 |
| 06-09 10:55 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8987619048 | $94.37 |
| 06-09 10:26 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 06-09 10:23 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $28.82 |
| 06-09 10:23 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $31.00 |
| 06-06 14:40 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $45.24 |
| 06-06 14:37 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $88.00 |
| 06-06 14:36 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.18 | $18.00 |