PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

knowerofmarkets

0xf1fddaa5047e7ea0188ecebf8effb2a3a6edb42c

Realised P&L
$3.6k
Volume
$75.4k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8470.947$1.8k+$190.56
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · No0.8700.988$350.74+$41.89
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.875$317.63$9.19
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? · Yes0.2500.205$164.00$36.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.8040.705$112.80$15.80
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? · No0.7600.998$98.42+$23.43
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9070.915$97.63+$0.90
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5970.145$18.88$58.55
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.4550.045$1.40$12.81
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? · No0.4200.001$0.18$150.98
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? · No0.8600.000$0.00$516.00
Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July? · Yes0.4020.000$0.00$47.21
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.2920.000$0.00$117.00
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June? · No0.3000.000$0.00$1.77
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$11.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 08:14Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.36$21.60
07-07 08:09Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.86$516.00
07-05 15:48Will Claude go down 6-8 times in July?BUY0.41$41.00
07-05 15:48Will Claude go down 3-5 times in July?BUY0.24$4.21
07-05 15:39Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.34$23.80
07-05 15:30Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?BUY0.18$11.70
07-05 15:28Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.687$20.43
06-27 09:52Will Claude go down 12+ times in June?BUY0.99$18.89
06-09 10:55Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?BUY0.8987619048$94.37
06-09 10:26Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?BUY0.17$3.40
06-09 10:23Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?BUY0.31$28.82
06-09 10:23Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?BUY0.31$31.00
06-06 14:40Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.39$45.24
06-06 14:37Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$88.00
06-06 14:36Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.18$18.00