PolyBot

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Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.962. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.961. Range 0.957 to 0.967. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9662929
0.967370399
0.969200599
0.97022621
0.9711,0741,695
0.9747002,395
0.9757003,095
0.9763043,399
0.9815063,905
0.9827004,605
0.9851,0005,605
0.9875876,192

Spread0.009Mid0.962

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9571010
0.9566171
0.9552,5002,571
0.9455003,071
0.921563,127
0.9203943,521
0.9172003,721
0.9162,5006,221
0.860506,271
0.8512006,471
0.8501,1947,665
0.710157,680

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0431010
0.0446171
0.0452,5002,571
0.0555003,071
0.079563,127
0.0803943,521
0.0832003,721
0.0842,5006,221
0.140506,271
0.1492006,471
0.1501,1947,665
0.290157,680

Spread0.009Mid0.038

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0342929
0.033370399
0.031200599
0.03022621
0.0291,0741,695
0.0267002,395
0.0257003,095
0.0243043,399
0.0195063,905
0.0187004,605
0.0151,0005,605
0.0135876,192

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x478D9E24fDea478C0E74eF69F483A2A087140350-1775311916359Yes9,529.75
GollumGekkoYes4,832.76
0x68a4…fd2fYes2,748.42
balthazarYes1,420.51
nelbal8486Yes1,062.94
K1ngN0rthYes997.86
delphiloYes960.32
yoyobb2018Yes672.98
rhinogiraffeYes658.09
ShijiebeiiiYes557.43
QMG-COREYes505.99
anchorjetpackYes499.33
TalophexYes300
x26Yes288.89
dollerbillYes276.53
0x3340c7BEb5D6f8EcA45bAFfBC379BA238b4C83Fb-1776862758882Yes259.97
0x9DD1166E70def7e51b5871ca668D3f160CfAF50c-1723680507509Yes200
387411007415611814092217897387Yes124.65
grothYes121
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes100.2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:22:55BUYNo0.0446$0.26
20:22:55BUYNo0.04416$0.72
20:22:55BUYNo0.0444$0.16
04:04:43BUYYes0.96199972812$1.50
14:27:42SELLNo0.03614$0.51
10:42:48BUYYes0.96499999521$1.00
08:41:49BUYYes0.97982722962,931$2871.87
08:41:33BUYYes0.968999999513$12.34
08:41:31BUYYes0.96899999634$3.62
08:41:28BUYNo0.07790$6.93
08:41:28BUYNo0.05463770952$2.84
08:41:28BUYNo0.0549999998161$8.88
08:41:28BUYNo0.0773,355$258.30
08:41:28BUYNo0.0535511024635$34.00
08:41:28BUYNo0.075489891,378$104.00
08:41:28BUYNo0.076999997935$2.70
08:41:28BUYNo0.0769999996176$13.56
06:45:51SELLYes0.9561$1.41
01:48:00SELLYes0.959100$95.89
14:11:49BUYYes0.9763185002121$118.48
13:33:54SELLNo0.0367$0.23
11:05:14SELLNo0.0279588924583$16.30
22:31:04BUYYes0.96299993865$4.85
22:31:00BUYNo0.07450$3.70
22:31:00BUYNo0.0745$0.37