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Traders

Talophex

0xd0db79306c38e8ce1969ce80dde58fa67a67b117

Realised P&L
$43.1k
Volume
$3.21M
Markets traded
1,397
Open portfolio
$158.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,397
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.9300.966$17.3k+$631.54
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9770.995$13.1k+$229.78
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9730.996$8.2k+$185.83
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9190.945$7.2k+$197.30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8420.835$7.1k$58.74
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9300.935$6.5k+$35.01
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.941$5.9k+$188.33
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? · No0.9400.955$5.8k+$91.35
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9410.915$5.7k$159.99
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8810.780$5.5k$704.57
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.9440.951$5.2k+$38.81
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · No0.9660.992$5.0k+$126.12
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · No0.8940.860$4.8k$188.16
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.9110.935$4.1k+$105.80
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No0.9080.910$4.0k+$6.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 17:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?BUY0.979$39.16
09-08 15:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?BUY0.92$23.00
09-08 15:34US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?BUY0.9626074561$13.17
09-04 04:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.978$48.90
09-01 18:30Phoebe Gates arrested by December 31?BUY0.94$37.59
09-01 14:36Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY0.95$110.11
09-01 14:18Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?BUY0.988$770.64
08-29 14:41Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$869.53
08-29 05:39Nothing Ever Happens: ObamaBUY0.0845$8.45
08-29 05:15Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.984$98.40
08-28 21:16Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.981$784.90
08-28 21:15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.87$448.92
08-28 05:01US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.953$246.84
08-27 18:04Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?BUY0.994$4.97
08-26 19:36Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.983$49.15