PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

x26

0x5b9115312cb4fc2b2b57c65045e611092f222709

Realised P&L
$49.5k
Volume
$2.40M
Markets traded
1,061
Open portfolio
$81.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,061
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration63.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.884$22.1k+$9.6k
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8510.905$18.6k+$1.1k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8710.895$4.0k+$107.51
Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? · No0.8600.865$3.5k+$20.00
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? · No0.9050.995$3.1k+$275.83
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.116$2.9k$9.6k
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6560.485$2.4k$854.99
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6180.665$2.3k+$163.77
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.7570.505$2.0k$1.0k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8370.945$1.9k+$216.01
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.6510.615$1.8k$105.80
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7770.818$1.8k+$89.65
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8590.925$1.5k+$106.00
Revolut IPO before 2027? · No0.9080.972$1.3k+$85.48
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.7740.982$981.49+$207.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:55Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?BUY0.019$0.95
09-17 14:51Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.68$2.4k
09-17 11:39Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.6696415266$1.1k
09-15 21:24US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.77$766.15
09-15 21:24US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.77$1.5k
09-15 21:24US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.77$723.80
09-11 13:15Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.17$340.00
09-01 05:47SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?BUY0.9074686762$1.9k
08-26 21:53Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5946341463$24.38
08-26 20:20Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.997$4.99
08-26 20:20Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.996$9.96
08-26 20:11Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.9539260992$1.0k
08-20 13:26Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.38$190.00
08-20 13:26Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?BUY0.8$114.02
08-18 13:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.76$2.3k