0x5b9115312cb4fc2b2b57c65045e611092f222709
0x5b9115312cb4fc2b2b57c65045e611092f222709
- Realised P&L
- $54.1k
- Volume
- $2.58M
- Markets traded
- 1,133
- Open portfolio
- $72.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,133
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.6kat 0.859MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
- +$7.8kat 0.169Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.2kat 0.698Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$5.2kat 0.563Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
- +$4.1kat 0.787Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:01 | Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.6890536278 | $218.43 |
| 11-01 22:55 | Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.84 | $21.76 |
| 11-01 22:55 | Will PP win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.80 |
| 11-01 22:54 | Will PP win the most seats in Teruel in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.8750226323 | $100.52 |
| 11-01 22:51 | Will PP win 120-125 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.8392498086 | $131.56 |
| 11-01 22:50 | Will PP win 132-137 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.51 |
| 11-01 22:49 | Will PSOE receive between 24% and 26% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.1444107917 | $39.29 |
| 11-01 22:43 | Will PP win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.8736942969 | $189.20 |
| 11-01 22:36 | Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority? | BUY | 0.8825382881 | $4.0k |
| 11-01 22:32 | Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.77 | $26.95 |
| 11-01 22:31 | Will PSOE win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election? | SELL | 0.944828546 | $392.08 |
| 11-01 11:29 | Will PP win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.971 | $4.85 |
| 10-31 16:21 | Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $110.00 |
| 10-31 16:20 | Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.9k |
| 10-30 07:38 | Will PP win the most seats in Teruel in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BUY | 0.81 | $114.89 |