x26
0x5b9115312cb4fc2b2b57c65045e611092f222709
- Realised P&L
- $49.5k
- Volume
- $2.40M
- Markets traded
- 1,061
- Open portfolio
- $81.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,061
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.6kat 0.859MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
- +$7.8kat 0.169Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.2kat 0.698Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$5.2kat 0.563Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
- +$4.1kat 0.787Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:55 | Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.95 |
| 09-17 14:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.68 | $2.4k |
| 09-17 11:39 | Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.6696415266 | $1.1k |
| 09-15 21:24 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $766.15 |
| 09-15 21:24 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.5k |
| 09-15 21:24 | US recession by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $723.80 |
| 09-11 13:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.17 | $340.00 |
| 09-01 05:47 | SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? | BUY | 0.9074686762 | $1.9k |
| 08-26 21:53 | Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5946341463 | $24.38 |
| 08-26 20:20 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 08-26 20:20 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 08-26 20:11 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.9539260992 | $1.0k |
| 08-20 13:26 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $190.00 |
| 08-20 13:26 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $114.02 |
| 08-18 13:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.3k |