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Traders

0x5b9115312cb4fc2b2b57c65045e611092f222709

0x5b9115312cb4fc2b2b57c65045e611092f222709

Realised P&L
$54.1k
Volume
$2.58M
Markets traded
1,133
Open portfolio
$72.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,133
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8560.945$22.0k+$2.1k
Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority? · Yes0.8670.920$6.1k+$351.34
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.6070.725$4.7k+$769.83
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8710.945$4.3k+$332.51
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? · Yes0.5970.695$3.6k+$510.36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7430.705$3.5k−$188.74
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? · No0.9050.960$3.0k+$169.57
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8370.966$1.9k+$257.01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8250.825$1.7k+$0.00
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8590.955$1.5k+$154.00
Revolut IPO before 2027? · No0.9080.960$1.3k+$68.63
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? · No0.7180.959$1.1k+$285.48
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.7740.981$980.49+$206.50
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4900.961$960.49+$470.49
Amazon 2026 capex above $190B? · Yes0.8710.962$948.36+$89.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:01Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.6890536278$218.43
11-01 22:55Will PP win the most seats in Córdoba in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.84$21.76
11-01 22:55Will PP win the most seats in Murcia in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.84$5.80
11-01 22:54Will PP win the most seats in Teruel in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.8750226323$100.52
11-01 22:51Will PP win 120-125 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.8392498086$131.56
11-01 22:50Will PP win 132-137 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.15$4.51
11-01 22:49Will PSOE receive between 24% and 26% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.1444107917$39.29
11-01 22:43Will PP win the most seats in Cantabria in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.8736942969$189.20
11-01 22:36Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?BUY0.8825382881$4.0k
11-01 22:32Will PSOE win 102-107 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.77$26.95
11-01 22:31Will PSOE win the most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.944828546$392.08
11-01 11:29Will PP win the most seats in Madrid in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.971$4.85
10-31 16:21Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?BUY0.11$110.00
10-31 16:20Will there be three UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?SELL0.89$8.9k
10-30 07:38Will PP win the most seats in Teruel in the 2026 Spanish general election?BUY0.81$114.89
Trader 0x5b9115312cb4fc2b2b57c65045e611092f222709 · PolyBot Pro