delphilo
0xca52446eaad30e546f344849ae1afd92eb360cdf
- Realised P&L
- $9.3k
- Volume
- $417.1k
- Markets traded
- 570
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded570
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.425US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$1.0kat 0.739Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$876.50at 0.484US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$716.14at 0.463Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?
- +$690.60at 0.214Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:07 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $31.00 |
| 09-16 02:29 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6329693592 | $200.00 |
| 09-13 00:20 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.5662 | $70.78 |
| 09-08 17:47 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999992 | $300.00 |
| 09-08 17:46 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999985 | $400.00 |
| 09-08 12:44 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | BUY | 0.8514289481 | $150.00 |
| 09-08 12:42 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.5873373973 | $36.00 |
| 09-08 12:37 | SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | BUY | 0.6585033996 | $44.00 |
| 09-08 08:53 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999996 | $11.00 |
| 09-08 08:50 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $4.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.719999998 | $71.00 |
| 09-08 08:49 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9275376027 | $150.00 |
| 09-08 08:48 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $4.00 |
| 09-08 08:37 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2242567834 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 08:36 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 08:35 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0810692542 | $5.00 |