0x478D9E24fDea478C0E74eF69F483A2A087140350-1775311916359
0xfc50757cbbe26b2b77a29975ae2ebdf35080277b
- Realised P&L
- $189.79
- Volume
- $14.5k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $9.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.972 | 0.965 | $9.2k | −$68.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$261.42at 0.400Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 05:46 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9299999996 | $68.00 |
| 06-09 15:19 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9629991443 | $1.3k |
| 06-09 15:18 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.5145606582 | $1.3k |
| 06-04 19:01 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9807104167 | $7.0k |
| 06-01 16:48 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $891.48 |