PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x478D9E24fDea478C0E74eF69F483A2A087140350-1775311916359

0xfc50757cbbe26b2b77a29975ae2ebdf35080277b

Realised P&L
$189.79
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
2
Open portfolio
$9.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded2
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9720.965$9.2k$68.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 05:46Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9299999996$68.00
06-09 15:19Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9629991443$1.3k
06-09 15:18Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?SELL0.5145606582$1.3k
06-04 19:01Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9807104167$7.0k
06-01 16:48Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.92$891.48