rhinogiraffe
0x7aedab2480df49ee3c1983ec29fc9aec742cdf39
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $904.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,980
- Open portfolio
- $10.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,980
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.5702026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
- +$1.3kat 0.6102026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
- +$785.34at 0.261Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$751.84at 0.288Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
- +$718.64at 0.215Spurs vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 08:57 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $18.36 |
| 09-14 08:57 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $14.40 |
| 09-14 08:50 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $12.40 |
| 09-14 08:50 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $15.81 |
| 09-14 08:50 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $12.40 |
| 09-14 08:50 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $15.81 |
| 09-14 08:42 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 08:42 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 09-14 08:42 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-14 08:42 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 08:42 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.50 |
| 09-14 08:42 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $12.75 |
| 09-14 08:35 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-14 08:35 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.28 |
| 09-14 08:28 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |