PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

rhinogiraffe

0x7aedab2480df49ee3c1983ec29fc9aec742cdf39

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$904.2k
Markets traded
2,980
Open portfolio
$10.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,980
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.8460.955$1.5k+$174.03
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.4680.525$1.4k+$152.93
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.4240.445$868.08+$40.58
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6490.850$642.69+$151.57
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.9230.962$632.76+$25.13
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat? · Yes0.8110.850$586.73+$27.05
Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat? · Yes0.8300.875$336.13+$17.29
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.9400.994$273.35+$14.85
Will the Republican Party win the LA-03 House seat? · Yes0.9400.945$255.15+$1.35
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2720.163$179.89$121.04
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.5300.615$169.13+$23.38
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.4510.475$128.30+$6.36
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.5300.385$105.88$39.88
Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.9840.997$99.65+$1.25
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.9610.996$99.55+$3.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 08:57Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.51$18.36
09-14 08:57Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.4$14.40
09-14 08:50Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.4$12.40
09-14 08:50Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.51$15.81
09-14 08:50Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.4$12.40
09-14 08:50Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.51$15.81
09-14 08:42Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.4$4.00
09-14 08:42Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.51$5.10
09-14 08:42Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.51$2.55
09-14 08:42Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.4$2.00
09-14 08:42Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.38$9.50
09-14 08:42Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.51$12.75
09-14 08:35Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.5$3.00
09-14 08:35Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.38$2.28
09-14 08:28Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?BUY0.51$10.20