0x3340c7BEb5D6f8EcA45bAFfBC379BA238b4C83Fb-1776862758882
0x3340c7beb5d6f8eca45baffbc379ba238b4c83fb
- Realised P&L
- $56.40
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.34at 0.933Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 13:15 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 09-14 00:09 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-10 23:45 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $46.50 |
| 09-09 17:27 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.69 | $124.89 |
| 09-08 14:54 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $82.00 |
| 09-04 22:53 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.117 | $1.17 |
| 09-04 22:48 | Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $30B by December 31? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-04 22:47 | Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 09-04 22:46 | Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 09-04 22:45 | Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 07-14 19:06 | France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.495 | $49.50 |
| 06-19 22:23 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $39.50 |
| 06-19 22:23 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 06-19 22:20 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 06-19 22:19 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $7.80 |