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Traders

nelbal8486

0x8c4465127b5278a5d7fd120b95b77e7fe292fcd4

Realised P&L
$23.4k
Volume
$1.54M
Markets traded
151
Open portfolio
$101.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded151
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration79.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 10:08Ballon d'Or 2026: Harry Kane or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.71$35.50
10-15 10:08Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?BUY0.54$643.28
10-15 10:06Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?BUY0.74$96.02
10-06 16:15Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.91$91.00
10-06 16:10Plague pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9658706542$552.58
10-05 11:21Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.77$610.03
09-26 07:47UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?BUY0.96$72.00
09-24 14:29Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7576397332$128.37
09-24 14:28Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$78.28
09-24 14:02No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.2342272698$109.36
09-13 15:39OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.9285781665$4.5k
09-12 13:20Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?BUY0.978$97.82
09-12 13:19Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?BUY0.9783136049$63.64
09-12 13:19Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?BUY0.979223773$107.34
09-12 13:19Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ?BUY0.9796475211$149.58