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Traders

nelbal8486

0x8c4465127b5278a5d7fd120b95b77e7fe292fcd4

Realised P&L
$31.7k
Volume
$1.55M
Markets traded
141
Open portfolio
$101.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded141
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration72.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 15:39OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.9285781665$4.5k
09-12 13:20Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?BUY0.978$97.82
09-12 13:19Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?BUY0.9783136049$63.64
09-12 13:19Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?BUY0.979223773$107.34
09-12 13:19Will Andy Burnham say "Mr Speaker" 12+ times during the next PMQ?BUY0.9796475211$149.58
09-12 13:17Will Andy Burnham not participate in the next PMQ?BUY0.9886987961$133.86
09-12 13:14Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8424079691$2.0k
09-11 11:00Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.72$117.72
09-11 11:00Will Hamza Chowdhury win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.998180198$504.08
09-08 12:52Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.15$1.2k
09-08 12:52Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.15$80.87
09-08 12:50Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?BUY0.26$5.23
09-05 09:17Will Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.2583318389$123.89
09-03 15:08Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.4633818059$82.21
09-02 12:48Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?BUY0.2430189638$90.86
Trader nelbal8486 · PolyBot Pro