0x68a442608092a0ea44b69d2b337c3fb8eba8fd2f
- Realised P&L
- $48.42
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.915 | 0.895 | $2.5k | −$55.16 |
| SHEIN IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.744 | 0.913 | $167.46 | +$30.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.41at 0.917Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 14:47 | SHEIN IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.7444363954 | $136.47 |
| 03-06 02:02 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8499999972 | $15.00 |
| 03-05 06:26 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9154922254 | $2.5k |
| 03-05 05:57 | Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026? | BUY | 0.9170015832 | $800.00 |