anchorjetpack
0xf4797884e268cf596e0dcfa75189bb821b82fcc1
- Realised P&L
- $-952.25
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $875.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.947 | 0.965 | $481.60 | +$8.98 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.962 | $192.30 | +$24.30 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? · No | 0.758 | 0.895 | $116.35 | +$17.86 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.855 | $85.50 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$599.24at 0.893Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$144.00at 0.710US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$98.00at 0.755Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$88.52at 0.557Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$55.95at 0.716SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 20:57 | Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.94 | $188.00 |
| 06-12 20:53 | Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 06-12 20:41 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | SELL | 0.09 | $27.00 |
| 06-12 20:38 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.6 | $120.00 |
| 06-12 20:32 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? | SELL | 0.999 | $197.48 |
| 06-12 15:55 | SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day? | BUY | 0.72 | $106.34 |
| 06-10 23:45 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 06-01 23:40 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $412.99 |
| 06-01 23:40 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.41 |
| 06-01 23:40 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $41.22 |
| 04-11 14:31 | Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 04-08 06:29 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 04-02 05:34 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $355.00 |
| 02-27 04:56 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 02-23 23:30 | Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.8 | $160.00 |