PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9DD1166E70def7e51b5871ca668D3f160CfAF50c-1723680507509

0x9dd1166e70def7e51b5871ca668d3f160cfaf50c

Realised P&L
$295.90
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration68.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-12 22:56Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.8499999997$2.0k
05-12 22:25Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.85$227.09
05-11 23:45Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.7899999979$228.08
05-11 23:32Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?BUY0.75$150.00
05-11 23:27Will the Democratic Union of Hungarians in Romania (UDMR) be included in the next Romanian government?BUY0.9197346575$29.50
02-19 22:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.9210568139$145.58
02-19 22:31Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL0.819$266.01
02-19 16:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.9299999999$147.00
02-19 15:49Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.4618152734$150.00
01-07 10:22Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL0.66$297.34
01-02 23:15Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?BUY0.76903047$346.47
11-02 19:58Megaquake by December 31?BUY0.8485678252$294.00