PolyBot

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Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
100 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.56. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.58. Range 0.52 to 0.76. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.58451451
0.59325776
0.6456832
0.652361,068
0.666771,745
0.672151,960
0.681732,133
0.69662,199
0.701422,341
0.711292,470
0.721,0253,495
0.731253,620

Spread0.03Mid0.56

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.552,1512,151
0.541,3913,542
0.532513,793
0.524504,243
0.512,6756,918
0.503,0009,918
0.2959,923
0.27209,943
0.2614010,083
0.2525010,333
0.2020010,533
0.1814010,673

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.452,1512,151
0.461,3913,542
0.472513,793
0.484504,243
0.492,6756,918
0.503,0009,918
0.7159,923
0.73209,943
0.7414010,083
0.7525010,333
0.8020010,533
0.8214010,673

Spread0.03Mid0.43

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.42451451
0.41325776
0.3656832
0.352361,068
0.346771,745
0.332151,960
0.321732,133
0.31662,199
0.301422,341
0.291292,470
0.281,0253,495
0.271253,620

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Contentious-DinnerdateYes7,453.77
0xA5d833A23bC19B7D38ADcBEE7c117A8F421EFF3A-1779306353525Yes7,286.72
nelbal8486Yes7,079.24
DEGENKHANYes6,140.26
zoooticYes3,851.74
anonymousoctopusYes3,649.46
jadebasiliskYes3,599.99
balthazarYes3,043.27
JT716Yes2,500
c10rmainYes2,001.38
laaaaadidaYes1,747.07
lexswitzYes1,295.37
0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29Yes1,240.1
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes1,166.13
jpurd17Yes881.11
Elias.ThornwellYes747.03
jwd103103Yes719.91
legaloslotrYes640.05
BanditoesYes516.15
mazw8Yes500

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:52:30SELLYes0.5550$27.50
17:16:42SELLYes0.5430$15.98
14:34:28BUYNo0.469999995670$33.04
14:34:28SELLYes0.54100$54.00
08:18:43SELLYes0.61199$121.39
19:22:30BUYYes0.63320$201.60
19:22:12BUYYes0.62200$124.00
19:06:52BUYYes0.62200$124.00
18:36:49SELLYes0.570$0.22
18:36:46BUYYes0.59162$95.58
18:31:39BUYYes0.5930$17.70
13:09:48BUYYes0.57365$208.05
12:59:15BUYYes0.5610$5.60
03:05:12BUYYes0.5388$46.58
23:38:12SELLYes0.5689$49.57
23:38:12SELLYes0.56175$98.06
20:28:42SELLNo0.4230$12.60
20:10:16SELLNo0.4277$32.14
20:10:13BUYYes0.58140$81.20
20:06:54BUYYes0.58150$87.00
16:20:25BUYYes0.5930$17.70
16:03:24BUYYes0.65$3.00
15:18:27SELLNo0.4312$5.21
14:50:46BUYYes0.5727$15.39
14:50:45SELLYes0.5773$41.61