PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mazw8

0x7c30ee60b7f53f80211ca65df99d48cce53b7673

Realised P&L
$4.6k
Volume
$877.2k
Markets traded
765
Open portfolio
$64.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded765
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7510.905$17.0k+$2.9k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8470.945$11.0k+$1.1k
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9030.958$8.6k+$487.50
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7670.867$5.0k+$572.14
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.8280.895$3.8k+$287.64
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8470.935$2.1k+$202.13
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8190.954$1.6k+$229.80
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? · No0.9100.980$1.6k+$115.50
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.8200.785$1.6k$70.00
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.4080.785$1.3k+$634.23
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · No0.9200.998$1.3k+$100.42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.4960.835$1.1k+$460.60
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.7500.715$750.76$37.25
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6760.957$619.03+$181.45
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? · Yes0.4790.565$551.47+$83.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:43Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (HIGH) $167.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.99$9.90
09-17 13:59Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.734$220.20
09-17 13:57Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in September?BUY0.72$14.40
09-17 00:58Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.55$412.50
09-17 00:31Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?SELL0.71$88.38
09-17 00:29Will Hong Kong have between 300-325mm of precipitation in September?BUY0.9598079431$404.80
09-11 15:47Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.99$0.71
09-11 15:47Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.98$132.27
09-11 14:02Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.988$19.75
09-11 14:01Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.932$30.49
09-11 14:01Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,050 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.98390732$491.95
09-11 01:06Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?BUY0.7555555556$68.00
09-11 01:04Will Hong Kong have between 275-300mm of precipitation in September?BUY0.88492$70.79
09-11 01:04Will Hong Kong have 550mm or more of precipitation in September?BUY0.95$29.74
09-08 13:54Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.8$6.89