PolyBot

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Traders

mazw8

0x7c30ee60b7f53f80211ca65df99d48cce53b7673

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$915.4k
Markets traded
839
Open portfolio
$69.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded839
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.7680.945$19.6k+$3.7k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8470.966$11.2k+$1.4k
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9030.980$8.8k+$685.50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.7980.795$7.0k−$29.44
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7970.903$6.8k+$794.00
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.8390.961$4.6k+$586.41
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8470.960$2.2k+$258.36
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.8190.971$1.6k+$257.85
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9030.945$1.2k+$54.50
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? · No0.9330.977$977.00+$43.60
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.2300.225$787.50−$17.50
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.4960.820$705.83+$278.45
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6760.961$621.62+$184.03
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6640.925$429.70+$121.21
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? · No0.5490.955$402.99+$171.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 14:17AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?BUY0.23$460.00
10-30 14:16Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.81$1.9k
10-30 13:09Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 26 2026?BUY0.82$328.00
10-30 13:09Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of October 26 2026?BUY0.82$246.00
10-30 12:43Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 Week of October 26 2026?BUY0.759$37.95
10-30 12:42Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $870 Week of October 26 2026?BUY0.84$25.20
10-29 14:19Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 in November?BUY0.59$55.08
10-29 14:19Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?BUY0.78$23.40
10-29 14:14Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of October 26 2026?BUY0.79$86.90
10-29 14:14Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $900 in October?BUY0.83$83.00
10-29 14:09Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 in October?BUY0.94$94.00
10-29 13:36Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 in October?BUY0.9893333333$29.68
10-29 13:36Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 in October?BUY0.99$9.90
10-29 13:35Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 in October?BUY0.869079678$62.61
10-29 13:32Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in October?BUY0.93$19.53