PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jwd103103

0xfa7e25c8df8d4f36e5a87731ba2b91540046f37e

Realised P&L
$47.65
Volume
$406.3k
Markets traded
1,501
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,501
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.6360.660$857.85+$30.72
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.7080.845$566.15+$91.72
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31? · Yes0.3680.415$539.46+$60.47
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.5950.565$406.75−$21.79
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.6520.750$321.00+$41.91
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1840.201$200.49+$16.90
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? · Yes0.6640.645$186.06−$5.41
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.4760.961$159.74+$80.53
Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes0.2130.165$159.42−$46.06
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.3530.430$159.10+$28.57
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.2280.290$155.14+$33.42
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? · Yes0.4720.530$119.48+$13.12
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1940.305$106.81+$39.01
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1260.180$99.02+$29.70
Love Wins: 2026 Edition · No0.6110.880$92.30+$28.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:18Chiefs vs. BroncosBUY0.4899999824$10.00
11-01 17:56Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)BUY0.22$5.06
11-01 17:56Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.09$1.17
11-01 17:24Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.15$2.55
11-01 17:24Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.11$1.87
11-01 17:23Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.284$5.68
11-01 17:23Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.275$11.00
11-01 17:16Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?SELL0.54$15.98
11-01 16:59Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.097$3.88
11-01 16:59Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.2757364$13.79
11-01 16:57Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026?SELL0.924$9.80
11-01 16:57Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by October 31?SELL0.9601704981$15.04
11-01 16:55Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?SELL0.63$63.00
11-01 16:43Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by October 31?SELL0.961$20.62
11-01 14:37Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.007$1.40