PolyBot

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Traders

jwd103103

0xfa7e25c8df8d4f36e5a87731ba2b91540046f37e

Realised P&L
$804.81
Volume
$359.4k
Markets traded
1,296
Open portfolio
$6.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,296
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? · Yes0.6330.855$1.1k+$292.41
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.6560.805$562.32+$104.29
Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.5650.600$399.54+$23.21
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.5690.785$373.20+$102.88
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.5670.875$306.47+$107.75
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.4640.545$283.39+$42.00
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.6410.715$275.99+$28.64
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? · Yes0.6170.835$250.50+$65.44
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.2060.544$231.67+$143.95
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? · Yes0.7480.650$213.95$32.22
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1460.255$127.57+$54.46
Will Erling Braut Haaland be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · Yes0.4180.425$108.80+$1.67
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · Yes0.7190.715$107.25$0.55
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.3530.285$105.45$25.08
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.2410.296$103.78+$19.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 23:53Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?BUY0.152$2.28
09-16 23:53Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?BUY0.152$1.52
09-16 23:42Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.71$4.26
09-16 23:36Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.53$10.60
09-16 22:22Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of September 2026?SELL0.0786044068$13.91
09-16 22:21Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?BUY0.59$44.25
09-16 22:20Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?SELL0.92$105.55
09-16 18:12Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$8.38
09-16 18:11Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$40.29
09-16 18:11Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?SELL0.93$50.20
09-16 00:16Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.29$1.45
09-16 00:16Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.29$2.90
09-16 00:15Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.541$5.41
09-15 22:23Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?BUY0.58$11.60
09-15 10:21Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30?SELL0.93$6.53