jwd103103
0xfa7e25c8df8d4f36e5a87731ba2b91540046f37e
- Realised P&L
- $804.81
- Volume
- $359.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,296
- Open portfolio
- $6.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,296
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.374Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.413Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?
- +$1.3kat 0.425Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
- +$930.13at 0.422Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
- +$541.18at 0.337Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 23:53 | Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | BUY | 0.152 | $2.28 |
| 09-16 23:53 | Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026? | BUY | 0.152 | $1.52 |
| 09-16 23:42 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $4.26 |
| 09-16 23:36 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.60 |
| 09-16 22:22 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0786044068 | $13.91 |
| 09-16 22:21 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $44.25 |
| 09-16 22:20 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30? | SELL | 0.92 | $105.55 |
| 09-16 18:12 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $8.38 |
| 09-16 18:11 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.29 |
| 09-16 18:11 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30? | SELL | 0.93 | $50.20 |
| 09-16 00:16 | Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-16 00:16 | Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-16 00:15 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.541 | $5.41 |
| 09-15 22:23 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 09-15 10:21 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.025T by September 30? | SELL | 0.93 | $6.53 |