jwd103103
0xfa7e25c8df8d4f36e5a87731ba2b91540046f37e
- Realised P&L
- $47.65
- Volume
- $406.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,501
- Open portfolio
- $6.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,501
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.374Robinhood larger than Coinbase before 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.413Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?
- +$1.3kat 0.425Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
- +$930.13at 0.422Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
- +$541.18at 0.337Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:18 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 17:56 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.22 | $5.06 |
| 11-01 17:56 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.17 |
| 11-01 17:24 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.15 | $2.55 |
| 11-01 17:24 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.87 |
| 11-01 17:23 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.284 | $5.68 |
| 11-01 17:23 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.275 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 17:16 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.54 | $15.98 |
| 11-01 16:59 | Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.097 | $3.88 |
| 11-01 16:59 | Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.2757364 | $13.79 |
| 11-01 16:57 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.20T and $1.30T at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.924 | $9.80 |
| 11-01 16:57 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by October 31? | SELL | 0.9601704981 | $15.04 |
| 11-01 16:55 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $63.00 |
| 11-01 16:43 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.525T by October 31? | SELL | 0.961 | $20.62 |
| 11-01 14:37 | Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.40 |