laaaaadida
0x7e4253f18968530f08751f4412a7f1a34c5f8807
- Realised P&L
- $-572.89
- Volume
- $71.3k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.565 | $987.09 | −$497.91 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.427 | $339.65 | −$137.05 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.551 | $15.99 | −$4.01 |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.291 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 250B HKD? · Yes | 0.344 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.955US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
- +$1.0kat 0.500Will Jungleman win at Hustler Casino on Friday?
- +$746.87at 0.638Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$706.47at 0.829Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?
- +$206.76at 0.547Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 06:35 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 10-21 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 11:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 08:06 | France declares state of emergency by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.9890119769 | $10.00 |