PolyBot

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Traders

jpurd17

0x8473b3cf4b2af4cfb5b8e7c61464bde829f470ef

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$77.3k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.5950.660$633.72+$62.67
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.4740.820$588.26+$248.26
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1480.205$552.04+$152.05
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1910.565$497.83+$329.24
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.1240.429$410.25+$291.49
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3880.370$381.59−$18.40
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.2560.265$320.82+$10.82
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · Yes0.4040.380$299.85−$19.27
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.3660.140$76.43−$123.57
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2830.096$67.35−$132.65
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4070.033$61.85−$713.14
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.2540.048$56.76−$243.24
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.3190.029$49.65−$487.24
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.1760.026$45.17−$254.83
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1600.011$37.64−$537.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 19:19Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?SELL0.7837982338$326.62
09-21 17:15Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?SELL0.85$311.10
09-21 17:14Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?SELL0.850579$170.12
09-08 19:43Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.4695304682$100.00
09-08 19:42Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.4644594195$110.00
09-08 19:41Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.5619530118$198.53
09-08 19:40Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?SELL0.8978995181$113.67
09-08 19:37Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0529621848$10.00
09-08 19:37Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.036$8.88
09-08 19:37Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0342293173$10.00
09-08 18:34Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?SELL0.2406899273$70.16
09-08 18:23Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.2037055$100.00
09-08 18:23Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1$100.00
09-08 18:23Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1640997527$100.00
09-01 02:00Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?BUY0.7351718142$100.00