jpurd17
0x8473b3cf4b2af4cfb5b8e7c61464bde829f470ef
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $74.7k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $7.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$428.83at 0.417Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
- +$135.04at 0.591Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
- +$94.55at 0.497United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$29.56at 0.465Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$18.17at 0.527Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 19:43 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4695304682 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 19:42 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4644594195 | $110.00 |
| 09-08 19:41 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.5619530118 | $198.53 |
| 09-08 19:40 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.8978995181 | $113.67 |
| 09-08 19:37 | Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0529621848 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 19:37 | Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $8.88 |
| 09-08 19:37 | Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0342293173 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 18:34 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.2406899273 | $70.16 |
| 09-08 18:23 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.2037055 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 18:23 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 18:23 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.1640997527 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 02:00 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.7351718142 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 01:59 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.5170287799 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 01:51 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4743603733 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 01:49 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.1725359221 | $100.00 |