PolyBot

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Traders

jpurd17

0x8473b3cf4b2af4cfb5b8e7c61464bde829f470ef

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$74.7k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$7.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? · Yes0.5220.535$1.1k+$26.34
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.1480.285$767.47+$367.47
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.5950.785$753.74+$182.69
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1860.785$691.67+$527.93
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3880.655$675.52+$275.53
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes0.2560.535$647.70+$337.70
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.4740.835$599.02+$259.02
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · Yes0.4040.690$544.46+$225.34
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.1240.555$530.61+$411.84
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? · Yes0.7060.810$458.66+$58.66
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.3660.285$155.59$44.40
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.2540.125$147.81$152.19
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.1850.155$122.16$23.84
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4070.052$99.92$675.07
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.2830.134$94.15$105.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 19:43Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.4695304682$100.00
09-08 19:42Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.4644594195$110.00
09-08 19:41Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.5619530118$198.53
09-08 19:40Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?SELL0.8978995181$113.67
09-08 19:37Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0529621848$10.00
09-08 19:37Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.036$8.88
09-08 19:37Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.0342293173$10.00
09-08 18:34Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?SELL0.2406899273$70.16
09-08 18:23Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.2037055$100.00
09-08 18:23Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.1$100.00
09-08 18:23Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.1640997527$100.00
09-01 02:00Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?BUY0.7351718142$100.00
09-01 01:59Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.5170287799$100.00
09-01 01:51Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.4743603733$100.00
09-01 01:49Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.1725359221$100.00