JT716
0x7650e94d9c2decc455d7e2b9f8af0c0aa319fac1
- Realised P&L
- $18.9k
- Volume
- $1.98M
- Markets traded
- 281
- Open portfolio
- $6.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded281
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.3kat 0.659Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$25.2kat 0.665Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance
- +$22.9kat 0.726Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$17.0kat 0.780France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
- +$16.6kat 0.790Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 16:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.62 | $496.00 |
| 09-12 03:04 | Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.5741649485 | $55.69 |
| 09-08 13:49 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $2.1k |
| 09-08 07:24 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? | BUY | 0.8245470632 | $768.87 |
| 09-08 07:22 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $520.21 |
| 09-08 07:14 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.7k |
| 09-08 07:10 | Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $898.41 |
| 09-08 07:09 | Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $573.63 |
| 09-05 18:43 | UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.65 | $32.50 |
| 09-05 18:23 | UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 08-27 12:14 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $1.0k |
| 08-23 15:00 | UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |
| 08-23 14:58 | UFC Fight Night: Sean Woodson vs. Jack Jenkins (Featherweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.58 | $20.30 |
| 08-15 23:56 | UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 08-15 15:22 | UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |