PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

JT716

0x7650e94d9c2decc455d7e2b9f8af0c0aa319fac1

Realised P&L
$18.9k
Volume
$1.98M
Markets traded
281
Open portfolio
$6.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded281
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.8300.565$1.4k−$662.50
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? · No0.8700.950$981.02+$82.61
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? · No0.8250.951$886.31+$117.45
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.6500.901$765.85+$213.35
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? · No0.8600.935$623.65+$50.03
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.8300.972$582.88+$85.15
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31? · No0.7800.835$556.89+$36.68
Anduril IPO before 2027? · No0.5980.983$314.61+$123.31
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) · Daniel Santos0.6200.000$0.00−$6.20
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$6.30
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) · Melquizael Costa0.4800.000$0.00−$9.60
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Nursulton Ruziboev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Nursulton Ruziboev0.3600.000$0.00−$36.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$10.0k
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B? · No0.4100.000$0.00−$36.90
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3740.000$0.00−$30.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 16:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.62$496.00
09-12 03:04Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.5741649485$55.69
09-08 13:49Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.83$2.1k
09-08 07:24Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?BUY0.8245470632$768.87
09-08 07:22Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $250B by December 31?BUY0.78$520.21
09-08 07:14Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?BUY0.64$1.7k
09-08 07:10Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?BUY0.87$898.41
09-08 07:09Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?BUY0.86$573.63
09-05 18:43UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.65$32.50
09-05 18:23UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Mario Pinto (Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.24$12.00
08-27 12:14Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.87$1.0k
08-23 15:00UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.8$80.00
08-23 14:58UFC Fight Night: Sean Woodson vs. Jack Jenkins (Featherweight, Prelims)BUY0.58$20.30
08-15 23:56UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY0.74$74.00
08-15 15:22UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.5$50.00