0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29
0x7131cb618fb195c70e8e629c45199096833c29cc
- Realised P&L
- $110.8k
- Volume
- $21.92M
- Markets traded
- 337
- Open portfolio
- $28.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded337
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.1kat 0.600Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$28.5kat 0.499Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
- +$18.6kat 0.981Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
- +$16.5kat 0.987Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
- +$13.5kat 0.687Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:17 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $55.43 |
| 10-27 23:46 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 10-27 02:58 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7 | $4.3k |
| 10-27 02:21 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.1k |
| 10-27 02:21 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.9551883969 | $18.4k |
| 10-27 02:20 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9431364282 | $3.6k |
| 10-20 17:49 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.04 |
| 10-20 17:47 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.6k |
| 10-20 17:44 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.6k |
| 09-18 21:59 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $149.36 |
| 09-17 19:00 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.923 | $8.6k |
| 09-17 19:00 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.9825694736 | $2.6k |
| 09-17 19:00 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.985 | $2.9k |
| 09-17 16:49 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.918982528 | $9.2k |
| 09-14 20:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.9k |