PolyBot

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Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.024. down 0.011 over the period, from 0.034. Range 0.021 to 0.035. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0281010
0.029515
0.0303550
0.0313080
0.032347427
0.033238665
0.0343801,045
0.035131,058
0.0364241,483
0.0507072,190
0.0515002,690
0.0521002,790

Spread0.009Mid0.024

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0192,7902,790
0.017542,844
0.015502,894
0.0124173,311
0.0114553,765
0.0106504,415
0.0097565,171
0.0088255,996
0.0052006,196
0.0044006,596
0.0021,4668,062
0.00112,02620,088

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9812,7902,790
0.983542,844
0.985502,894
0.9884173,311
0.9894553,765
0.9906504,415
0.9917565,171
0.9928255,996
0.9952006,196
0.9964006,596
0.9981,4668,062
0.99912,02620,088

Spread0.009Mid0.976

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9721010
0.971515
0.9703550
0.9693080
0.968347427
0.967238665
0.9663801,045
0.965131,058
0.9644241,483
0.9507072,190
0.9495002,690
0.9481002,790

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes2,910.74
occasionalAwarenessYes2,869.63
JordanMooneyYes1,377.66
oyster82Yes1,209.64
LornaPredictsYes1,199.48
0x4C121DaE1B9326cA53EF98afA06Fa71393d362Cc-1775855980350Yes1,069.99
mombilYes743.58
planktonXDYes707.39
GaussloisYes639.56
Tee1000Yes584.99
balthazarYes579.5
Mark62221818Yes537.78
zhou666Yes490
OndraYes440.5
Hall-exYes424.14
0x78f3Bf9F0954AfB26df8e44298d68Bf5bc3E6517-1771123877041Yes400
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes380.01
0xCa6016434EfEe0DA7059a947Dc5700097C6a9e28-1772308226614Yes344.24
grungusYes332.76
x26Yes320

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:09:31BUYNo0.9806705966130$127.48
21:04:57SELLNo0.9715$4.85
14:39:42SELLYes0.0198772727220$4.37
14:39:42SELLYes0.0220$0.40
10:37:10SELLYes0.01944$0.83
23:00:43SELLYes0.01950$0.95
19:29:25SELLYes0.01950$0.95
12:36:43SELLYes0.01990$1.72
12:36:40SELLYes0.0199$0.17
12:36:40SELLYes0.01910$0.19
12:36:40SELLYes0.01910$0.19
14:12:59SELLYes0.0240$0.80
14:04:50BUYYes0.02748$1.29
07:09:22BUYYes0.02730$0.81
20:51:37BUYYes0.025048223432$0.79
17:27:11SELLYes0.019332$6.32
17:27:11SELLYes0.0190570377530$10.10
17:27:11BUYYes0.02750$1.35
16:05:29SELLYes0.02110$2.20
14:04:49BUYYes0.02630$0.78
10:46:07BUYYes0.03230$0.96
09:16:13BUYYes0.03230$0.96
05:16:52BUYYes0.032999999539$1.30
17:24:45BUYYes0.03215$0.49
07:58:39SELLYes0.0202319591550$11.13