PolyBot

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Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.037. up 0.027 over the period, from 0.010. Range 0.009 to 0.037. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.038556556
0.051162718
0.05290808
0.06250858
0.063125983
0.0644001,383
0.065261,409
0.0681621,571
0.0791081,679
0.1091001,779
0.1101091,888
0.4692002,088

Spread0.001Mid0.037

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03711
0.0234041
0.0221556
0.01856112
0.01754166
0.011200366
0.010120486
0.0077493
0.006266759
0.005200959
0.0049968
0.0032,8853,854

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96311
0.9774041
0.9781556
0.98256112
0.98354166
0.989200366
0.990120486
0.9937493
0.994266759
0.995200959
0.9969968
0.9972,8853,854

Spread0.001Mid0.962

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.962556556
0.949162718
0.94890808
0.93850858
0.937125983
0.9364001,383
0.935261,409
0.9321621,571
0.9211081,679
0.8911001,779
0.8901091,888
0.5312002,088

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes2,910.74
occasionalAwarenessYes2,869.63
JordanMooneyYes1,377.66
0x4C121DaE1B9326cA53EF98afA06Fa71393d362Cc-1775855980350Yes1,069.99
LornaPredictsYes1,058.48
FortunaFelixYes778.97
GaussloisYes639.56
balthazarYes629.02
Tee1000Yes584.99
Mark62221818Yes537.78
0x78f3Bf9F0954AfB26df8e44298d68Bf5bc3E6517-1771123877041Yes400
grungusYes332.76
x26Yes320
GingerMcKennaYes301.15
hetaczYes300
ruthereyetsirYes300
kaifuYes300
planktonXDYes235
zhou666Yes234
AJSVYes205.02

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:32:52BUYNo0.96330$28.89
15:59:15BUYNo0.9715$5.00
14:58:51BUYNo0.9715$5.24
14:36:22BUYNo0.9719$8.74
11:33:36SELLYes0.02324$0.55
20:22:55BUYYes0.036581506527$1.00
11:06:33BUYNo0.97715$14.65
22:47:22BUYYes0.024320$7.68
18:46:13SELLYes0.0236$0.14
16:48:40SELLYes0.0230$0.01
16:47:51BUYYes0.023999999893$2.24
16:46:07BUYYes0.0239999999102$2.44
22:33:27BUYYes0.024121$2.90
22:32:42SELLNo0.97650$48.80
22:31:21BUYYes0.02354$1.24
19:25:46BUYYes0.02354$1.24
17:02:10BUYYes0.023999999883$2.00
17:01:36BUYYes0.0200919205199$4.00
16:28:33BUYYes0.017693798410$0.18
16:27:25BUYYes0.016356484316$0.27
08:42:15SELLNo0.9841$0.87
08:42:15SELLNo0.9844$3.75
08:42:03SELLNo0.9841$0.62
08:41:55SELLNo0.9842$1.56
08:41:54SELLNo0.98420$20.02