PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mombil

0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711

Realised P&L
$505.4k
Volume
$43.20M
Markets traded
2,831
Open portfolio
$423.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,831
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:00Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.95$761.29
08-02 19:59Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?BUY0.9451267488$681.62
07-31 22:07Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.15$1.2k
07-31 21:31Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.0285364672$4.18
07-31 20:57Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.3$1.1k
07-31 20:56Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2769824305$3.4k
07-31 20:55Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.1812604923$294.12
07-31 20:55Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.1211122927$714.08
07-31 20:55US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.0937907243$95.84
07-31 20:53Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.24$12.0k
07-30 21:00Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.24$1.3k
07-30 20:09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.24$6.0k
07-30 19:26Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.031$557.36
07-30 15:03Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.83$874.55
07-30 14:57Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.82$544.52