PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xCa6016434EfEe0DA7059a947Dc5700097C6a9e28-1772308226614

0xca6016434efee0da7059a947dc5700097c6a9e28

Realised P&L
$-12.75
Volume
$6.6k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$16.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.7500.655$8.73−$1.27
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0450.022$7.57−$8.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 18:56Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.51$18.21
10-27 11:24Beijing Guoan vs. Jeonbuk FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.659999963$10.00
10-25 22:23FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5SELL0.999$18.49
10-25 21:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETBUY0.649999805$1.00
10-24 22:33Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2799999978$10.00
10-24 22:32Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5BUY0.5299999587$5.00
10-24 22:31FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5BUY0.539999986$10.00
10-24 22:30Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.5899999841$10.00
10-18 13:30Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?BUY0.0459999997$5.00
10-06 19:35Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsBUY0.4699999944$10.00
10-06 19:34Shanghai Rolex Masters: Martin Landaluce vs Jan-Lennard StruffBUY0.5$10.00
10-06 19:33Dana White's Contender Series: Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5099999776$10.00
10-05 21:20Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0454618212$15.65
10-05 21:19Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.7499999625$10.00
10-05 21:16Will United States win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.459999988$10.00