0xCa6016434EfEe0DA7059a947Dc5700097C6a9e28-1772308226614
0xca6016434efee0da7059a947dc5700097c6a9e28
- Realised P&L
- $45.05
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $31.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.340 | 0.340 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.520 | $9.29 | −$0.71 |
| Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-17? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.205 | $7.88 | −$2.12 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.033 | $4.33 | −$0.67 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians · Chicago White Sox | 0.460 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.83at 0.321US Open WTA: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Karolina Pliskova
- +$19.90at 0.310Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$14.51at 0.080Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
- +$10.13at 0.502Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)
- +$9.34at 0.522LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 10:47 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 09:57 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 09:51 | Guadalajara Open Akron: Diane Parry vs Peyton Stearns | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 09:50 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 04:20 | Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $0.40 |
| 09-15 04:19 | Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 43.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $18.84 |
| 09-15 04:18 | Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-14 23:19 | Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 22:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:59 | Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 13:41 | Game 4: Odd/Even Total Kills? | BUY | 0.5736893994 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 11:35 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | SELL | 0.7976745971 | $10.39 |
| 09-14 11:34 | LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | SELL | 0.8 | $4.12 |
| 09-14 00:00 | LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $19.58 |
| 09-13 23:07 | Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |