0xCa6016434EfEe0DA7059a947Dc5700097C6a9e28-1772308226614
0xca6016434efee0da7059a947dc5700097c6a9e28
- Realised P&L
- $-12.75
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $16.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.655 | $8.73 | −$1.27 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.022 | $7.57 | −$8.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.83at 0.321US Open WTA: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Karolina Pliskova
- +$19.90at 0.310Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$19.08at 0.351Florida vs. Missouri
- +$16.92at 0.379Counter-Strike: BBL vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
- +$14.51at 0.080Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 18:56 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.51 | $18.21 |
| 10-27 11:24 | Beijing Guoan vs. Jeonbuk FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.659999963 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 22:23 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $18.49 |
| 10-25 21:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 22:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 22:32 | Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5 | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 22:31 | FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 22:30 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 13:30 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | BUY | 0.0459999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 19:35 | Valorant: Paper Rex vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 19:34 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Martin Landaluce vs Jan-Lennard Struff | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 19:33 | Dana White's Contender Series: Roque Conceição vs. Alexander Chavez (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 21:20 | Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0454618212 | $15.65 |
| 10-05 21:19 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7499999625 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 21:16 | Will United States win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |