Mark62221818
0x803369c508ed3ae7390474bce0880bb03868fa1d
- Realised P&L
- $-182.72
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $28.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.84at 0.123Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$35.12at 0.162Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$24.01at 0.314Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
- +$21.91at 0.321Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$20.91at 0.331Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 01:18 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.801 | $40.05 |
| 09-12 01:17 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $9.41 |
| 09-12 01:16 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $15.38 |
| 08-20 00:44 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 00:43 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.3399999912 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 00:55 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 07-16 06:39 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 06:38 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 07:19 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 07-13 07:19 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4124999799 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 01:26 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 01:26 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 01:25 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 10:27 | Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.70 |
| 07-06 10:27 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |