PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mark62221818

0x803369c508ed3ae7390474bce0880bb03868fa1d

Realised P&L
$-164.88
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$57.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.3100.295$19.03−$0.97
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1700.140$14.00−$3.00
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0820.022$11.83−$32.37
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1860.194$10.44+$0.44
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0600.011$1.84−$7.76
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1600.024$0.44−$2.56
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$10.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 15? · Yes0.5980.000$0.00−$5.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 16? · Yes0.2950.000$0.00−$2.80
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.4000.000$0.00−$8.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00−$16.10
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET · Up0.8000.000$0.00−$12.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:08Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.3099999954$20.00
11-02 00:06Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?SELL0.9$14.99
10-17 01:56Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.599999988$10.00
10-17 01:55Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1858241035$10.00
09-12 01:18Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.801$40.05
09-12 01:17Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?SELL0.16$9.41
09-12 01:16Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?SELL0.5$15.38
08-20 00:44Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
08-20 00:43Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.3399999912$20.00
08-02 00:55Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.4$8.00
07-16 06:39Will France vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
07-16 06:38Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.32$10.00
07-13 07:19Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
07-13 07:19Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4124999799$10.00
07-08 01:26Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2299999869$10.00