PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Mark62221818

0x803369c508ed3ae7390474bce0880bb03868fa1d

Realised P&L
$-182.72
Volume
$5.9k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$28.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0820.027$14.52$29.68
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1700.105$10.50$6.50
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0600.018$2.96$6.64
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1600.029$0.53$2.47
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1100.007$0.32$4.68
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$10.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 15? · Yes0.5610.000$0.00$5.44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 16? · Yes0.4080.000$0.00$3.87
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.4000.000$0.00$8.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1610.000$0.00$16.10
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3AM ET · Up0.8000.000$0.00$12.73
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 29? · No0.1540.000$0.00$10.78
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $90 by end of February? · No0.0170.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 01:18Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.801$40.05
09-12 01:17Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?SELL0.16$9.41
09-12 01:16Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?SELL0.5$15.38
08-20 00:44Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
08-20 00:43Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?BUY0.3399999912$20.00
08-02 00:55Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.4$8.00
07-16 06:39Will France vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.2599999839$10.00
07-16 06:38Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.32$10.00
07-13 07:19Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3099999836$10.00
07-13 07:19Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4124999799$10.00
07-08 01:26Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
07-08 01:26Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
07-08 01:25Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.25$5.00
07-06 10:27Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?BUY0.29$8.70
07-06 10:27Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.23$6.90