Gausslois
0xb6b4a6842d7ab57abf67b270247ca61e62696709
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $549.2k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.200Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during WEF Address on January 21?
- +$715.59at 0.780SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
- +$440.00at 0.267Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$422.70at 0.313SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
- +$417.98at 0.390Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 22:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.17 |
| 07-31 07:48 | Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.947 | $28.41 |
| 07-31 07:46 | No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by July 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $365.56 |
| 07-31 07:36 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July? | BUY | 0.9 | $89.24 |
| 07-27 19:18 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.022 | $86.81 |
| 07-26 21:50 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.018 | $71.02 |
| 07-22 10:38 | Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of July? | BUY | 0.22525 | $27.03 |
| 07-22 10:33 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $71.04 |
| 07-22 10:32 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $23.95 |
| 07-22 10:31 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $163.50 |
| 07-19 21:17 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 07-19 21:17 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 07-19 19:18 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.626 | $62.60 |
| 07-14 13:47 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $23.25 |
| 07-12 10:19 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? | BUY | 0.19 | $51.30 |