PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Gausslois

0xb6b4a6842d7ab57abf67b270247ca61e62696709

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$549.2k
Markets traded
213
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded213
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8450.455$721.63$618.61
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? · SpaceX0.8770.569$625.99$339.38
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · No0.8160.960$606.73+$90.43
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.4800.785$329.70+$128.10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0830.105$301.71+$65.72
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2510.150$298.91$201.14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1320.081$289.48$185.51
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No0.9230.959$241.54+$8.89
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0330.035$169.32+$9.47
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31? · No0.5390.890$145.47+$57.31
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1070.255$117.30+$67.90
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? · No0.5570.270$98.17$104.51
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1930.221$93.71+$11.67
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? · No0.4230.155$83.64$144.89
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2400.145$60.90$39.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 22:54Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?SELL0.001$1.17
07-31 07:48Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.947$28.41
07-31 07:46No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by July 31?BUY0.997$365.56
07-31 07:36Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $120 end of July?BUY0.9$89.24
07-27 19:18Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.022$86.81
07-26 21:50Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.018$71.02
07-22 10:38Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of July?BUY0.22525$27.03
07-22 10:33Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?BUY0.08$71.04
07-22 10:32Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?BUY0.07$23.95
07-22 10:31Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?BUY0.77$163.50
07-19 21:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.71$71.00
07-19 21:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.71$71.00
07-19 19:18Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.626$62.60
07-14 13:47Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$23.25
07-12 10:19OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?BUY0.19$51.30