Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Resolves by: https://livebench.ai/
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.56. up 0.06 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.10 to 0.64. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.56	638	638
0.57	1,446	2,084
0.58	148	2,232
0.64	10	2,242
0.65	10	2,252
0.66	32	2,285
0.77	75	2,360
0.78	20	2,380
0.81	50	2,430
0.82	25	2,455
0.84	5	2,460
0.85	135	2,595

Spread0.01Mid0.56

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.55	776	776
0.54	1,431	2,207
0.53	165	2,372
0.49	22	2,394
0.48	20	2,414
0.40	280	2,694
0.32	200	2,894
0.12	200	3,094
0.02	88	3,182
0.01	105	3,287

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.45	776	776
0.46	1,431	2,207
0.47	165	2,372
0.51	22	2,394
0.52	20	2,414
0.60	280	2,694
0.68	200	2,894
0.88	200	3,094
0.98	88	3,182
0.99	105	3,287

Spread0.01Mid0.45

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.44	638	638
0.43	1,446	2,084
0.42	148	2,232
0.36	10	2,242
0.35	10	2,252
0.34	32	2,285
0.23	75	2,360
0.22	20	2,380
0.19	50	2,430
0.18	25	2,455
0.16	5	2,460
0.15	135	2,595

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
molodoyy	Yes	96.66
chaosj88	Yes	40
AJSV	Yes	20
0xaF9eeC236FAEA7139DB10DC5CDdFFEB5D44911B3-1775257317863	Yes	20
LornaPredicts	Yes	10.36
Corlys	Yes	10
ammnnah	Yes	8.93
bmtr	Yes	7
piggyramen	Yes	6
0xa5ef…2966	No	198.56
Oklmntrader	No	8.92
flexer78	No	6.46
Hugin-og-Munin	No	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:03:14	SELL	No	0.44	9	$3.92
21:02:51	BUY	Yes	0.5599999776	9	$5.00
19:47:29	BUY	No	0.47	7	$3.29
19:41:35	BUY	No	0.44	20	$8.80
12:06:20	SELL	Yes	0.4	0	$0.09
10:57:24	BUY	Yes	0.48	30	$14.40
08:33:27	BUY	Yes	0.5171428571	35	$18.10
05:56:00	BUY	No	0.67	5	$3.35
12:19:18	SELL	Yes	0.08	10	$0.80
17:37:57	BUY	Yes	0.52	6	$3.12
17:37:56	BUY	Yes	0.52	40	$20.80
17:36:51	BUY	Yes	0.2239252171	56	$12.64
17:03:56	BUY	No	0.94	15	$14.10
17:03:47	BUY	No	0.94	5	$4.70
17:00:50	BUY	No	0.94	8	$7.22
16:45:02	BUY	No	0.94	8	$7.22