PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://livebench.ai/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.83. down 0.06 over the period, from 0.89. Range 0.68 to 0.94. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.84109109
0.85141249
0.86130379
0.87285664
0.8820684
0.8950734
0.9021755
0.92115870
0.935875
0.942561,131
0.954271,559
0.96401,599

Spread0.01Mid0.83

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.831010
0.817888
0.8070158
0.7980238
0.7830268
0.7520288
0.5815302
0.5720322
0.4650372
0.385377
0.3110387
0.2220407

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.171010
0.197888
0.2070158
0.2180238
0.2230268
0.2520288
0.4215302
0.4320322
0.5450372
0.625377
0.6910387
0.7820407

Spread0.01Mid0.17

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.16109109
0.15141249
0.14130379
0.13285664
0.1220684
0.1150734
0.1021755
0.08115870
0.075875
0.062561,131
0.054271,559
0.04401,599

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
qianyi2026Yes1,674.34
0xA2770432A5E6Bd24c347c976b0D815db1f2C1182-1760945846787Yes662.56
balthazarYes638.87
bmtrYes572.89
tosseYes292.05
LornaPredictsYes216.38
molodoyyYes184.77
0x6dd7…fc56Yes182.86
gambler925Yes180
momo513Yes146.58
PavtheGreatYes145
loser124Yes120
lightshieldYes120
chaosj88Yes104.49
PolyArbiYes96.57
dgfd76Yes58.28
zeitfi-vault-v2Yes42.71
walkwithyourboyYes21.72
pootytherewardfarmerYes17.49
HaradwaithYes14.68

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:21:10SELLNo0.1616$2.56
04:57:18BUYYes0.852$1.53
15:37:25SELLYes0.8135714286112$91.12
15:37:25BUYYes0.8112$9.66
15:21:51SELLYes0.92106$97.38
14:52:49BUYNo0.0716$1.13
05:57:55BUYYes0.93999998875$5.00
02:29:07SELLYes0.893$2.55
02:24:03BUYNo0.1119$2.09
02:18:12SELLNo0.1641691667120$19.70
02:07:36SELLNo0.1832$5.76
02:07:25SELLNo0.1857$10.26
01:37:30SELLNo0.1810$1.72
01:37:28SELLNo0.1810$1.80
01:37:25SELLNo0.1944$8.36
01:02:12BUYYes0.7621$16.32
01:02:12SELLNo0.2420$4.80
01:02:10BUYYes0.7619$14.08
01:02:09BUYYes0.76680$516.79
20:53:21BUYYes0.7651$38.70
19:51:10SELLNo0.2117$3.50
18:21:28SELLYes0.8617$14.74
18:20:52BUYNo0.122499999223$2.80
18:20:49SELLYes0.8875191309146$129.90
18:20:49BUYNo0.1236$4.32