PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PolyArbi

0x15f640495cf23010380a34863bc94239584ee3f8

Realised P&L
$355.57
Volume
$118.1k
Markets traded
737
Open portfolio
$5.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded737
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 12:16Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?BUY0.072$7.43
09-15 12:15Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?BUY0.8884272838$178.00
09-14 08:21Will the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat?BUY0.007$1.40
09-14 08:21Will the Democratic Party win the CA-38 House seat?BUY0.95$190.00
09-14 07:41Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?BUY0.09$5.40
09-14 07:41Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?BUY0.8619294989$53.40
09-12 08:03Will Denver Outlaws be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?BUY0.4752635135$17.58
09-12 08:00Will Philadelphia Waterdogs be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?BUY0.52$5.20
09-12 08:00Will Denver Outlaws be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?BUY0.4422285227$4.75
09-12 07:59Will Philadelphia Waterdogs be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?BUY0.51$15.30
09-12 07:59Will Denver Outlaws be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?BUY0.431$12.93
09-12 07:59Will Denver Outlaws be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?BUY0.429$78.08
09-12 07:58Will Philadelphia Waterdogs be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?BUY0.51$112.20
09-12 07:58Will Denver Outlaws be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?BUY0.4283471479$111.54
09-12 07:58Will Philadelphia Waterdogs be named the 2026 Premier League Lacrosse Champion?BUY0.5$130.00