PolyBot

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Traders

walkwithyourboy

0xbc1f091426c74f0336c8ed92fc46154c77528f78

Realised P&L
$407.31
Volume
$18.9k
Markets traded
522
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded522
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6920.745$88.35+$6.29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.2640.880$61.41+$42.95
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.6640.915$41.81+$11.44
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.7670.945$40.49+$7.64
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes0.6690.982$40.27+$12.83
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7590.970$38.31+$8.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? · No0.7110.888$37.49+$7.46
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? · No0.2500.905$36.16+$26.17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4740.541$34.38+$4.27
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5250.447$34.03$5.96
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · No0.6970.895$31.76+$7.02
Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30? · No0.5610.865$30.78+$10.80
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.6070.755$24.85+$4.87
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7200.895$24.84+$4.86
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.7820.939$23.87+$3.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 03:22Will three people dissent the October Fed decision?BUY0.7699999985$9.99
09-17 00:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.54$9.99
09-16 23:08Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.6099999829$9.99
09-16 21:57Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.67$6.70
09-16 20:17Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?BUY0.2589999982$10.03
09-16 18:20Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.64$10.00
09-16 18:01Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.32$1.64
09-16 18:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.3399999883$1.75
09-15 23:08Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.63$3.15
09-15 22:28Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7799998674$2.00
09-15 20:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.6859999894$10.05
09-15 20:13Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.7599999747$6.01
09-15 20:13Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.75$3.98
09-15 18:49Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.41$2.05
09-15 18:12Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?SELL0.519$3.73