PolyBot

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Traders

lightshield

0xabff5678cb90ce2a9ca78e180b8c3be295cb6b73

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$185.4k
Markets traded
454
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded454
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · No0.8200.835$250.50+$4.50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3200.695$208.51+$112.50
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? · No0.8700.924$110.94+$6.54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · No0.7000.305$91.50−$118.50
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.4200.370$91.15−$12.32
Will Omarion Hampton have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.5400.715$85.80+$21.00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.1700.085$76.50−$76.50
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.1400.252$75.45+$33.45
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · No0.6700.385$65.80−$48.71
Will Josh Allen have 21.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.7400.515$61.80−$27.00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.4300.895$39.71+$20.63
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026? · No0.4600.120$36.00−$102.00
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1400.106$31.95−$10.05
Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Virginia in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.7000.685$25.00−$0.55
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 · Yes0.1300.080$24.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-20 15:33Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?BUY0.33$52.36
08-14 23:21Will Travis Etienne Jr. have 1,174.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.79$94.80
08-14 23:03Will Trey McBride have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.69$82.80
08-14 22:59Will Puka Nacua have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.74$88.80
08-14 22:46Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?SELL0.27$32.39
08-14 22:44Will Parker Washington have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.69$82.80
08-10 16:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.83$219.70
08-10 03:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?SELL0.959$287.70
08-08 06:48Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee?SELL0.18$54.00
08-08 01:20Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?SELL0.42$47.96
08-08 01:11Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?SELL0.1$26.63
08-06 07:57Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.405$4.05
08-06 07:56Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.41$2.05
08-06 07:55Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?SELL0.41$2.05
08-06 06:35Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on August 31?SELL0.6$72.00
Trader lightshield · PolyBot Pro