lightshield
0xabff5678cb90ce2a9ca78e180b8c3be295cb6b73
- Realised P&L
- $-3.3k
- Volume
- $185.4k
- Markets traded
- 454
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded454
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$966.01at 0.140Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$248.92at 0.160Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
- +$213.02at 0.320US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
- +$196.23at 0.260Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee?
- +$164.87at 0.140Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 15:33 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $52.36 |
| 08-14 23:21 | Will Travis Etienne Jr. have 1,174.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.79 | $94.80 |
| 08-14 23:03 | Will Trey McBride have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.69 | $82.80 |
| 08-14 22:59 | Will Puka Nacua have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.74 | $88.80 |
| 08-14 22:46 | Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $32.39 |
| 08-14 22:44 | Will Parker Washington have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.69 | $82.80 |
| 08-10 16:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.83 | $219.70 |
| 08-10 03:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.959 | $287.70 |
| 08-08 06:48 | Will John Nagel be the MN-05 Republican nominee? | SELL | 0.18 | $54.00 |
| 08-08 01:20 | Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.42 | $47.96 |
| 08-08 01:11 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | SELL | 0.1 | $26.63 |
| 08-06 07:57 | Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.405 | $4.05 |
| 08-06 07:56 | Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 08-06 07:55 | Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 08-06 06:35 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on August 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $72.00 |