0x6dd781c0a7c05651e5e59c51c0c8a4128c82fc56
- Realised P&L
- $265.82
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $305.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.805 | $305.65 | +$62.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.01at 0.853Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$96.06at 0.850Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:22 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $243.00 |
| 07-01 12:04 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999597 | $2.11 |
| 07-01 12:03 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8532059723 | $631.40 |
| 04-06 05:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $544.34 |