0xA2770432A5E6Bd24c347c976b0D815db1f2C1182-1760945846787
0xa2770432a5e6bd24c347c976b0d815db1f2c1182
- Realised P&L
- $6.4k
- Volume
- $66.0k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$255.86at 0.199Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?
- +$247.69at 0.549Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
- +$245.12at 0.502Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 13:29 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $0.99 |
| 09-19 11:39 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 09:19 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 09:10 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 09:07 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 08:51 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 08:48 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 08:47 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:58 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:54 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999922 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:03 | Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026? | BUY | 0.6804612354 | $200.00 |
| 09-17 00:01 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 23:52 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9819999863 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 21:56 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 21:42 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9819999863 | $1.00 |