0xcdf82242c9984bd8d274085ab54165633c54b8ea
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 782
- Open portfolio
- $93.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded782
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $9.69 |
| 11-02 01:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $12.49 |
| 11-02 01:14 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $8.19 |
| 11-01 12:35 | Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 11-01 12:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599833333 | $287.99 |
| 11-01 03:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $11.54 |
| 11-01 03:17 | Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 10-31 05:50 | Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.10 |
| 10-31 05:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.79 |
| 10-30 15:29 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.875 | $11.00 |
| 10-30 15:28 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.112 | $11.20 |
| 10-30 05:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.973 | $66.16 |
| 10-30 05:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.952 | $95.19 |
| 10-30 05:00 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.5417659333 | $162.53 |
| 10-30 03:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.973 | $145.95 |