Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-01
Resolves by: https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding
Rewards: 40 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.823. down 0.129 over the period, from 0.952. Range 0.684 to 0.953. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.843	103	103
0.844	30	133
0.846	43	177
0.847	23	200
0.848	52	252
0.850	181	433
0.852	80	512
0.853	58	570
0.855	226	796
0.856	1,003	1,798
0.857	45	1,843
0.858	50	1,893

Spread0.040Mid0.823

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.803	10	10
0.802	30	40
0.801	40	80
0.800	40	120
0.765	45	165
0.743	63	228
0.701	100	328
0.590	1	329
0.530	10	339
0.529	100	439
0.300	50	489
0.280	20	509

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.197	10	10
0.198	30	40
0.199	40	80
0.200	40	120
0.235	45	165
0.257	63	228
0.299	100	328
0.410	1	329
0.470	10	339
0.471	100	439
0.700	50	489
0.720	20	509

Spread0.040Mid0.177

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.157	103	103
0.156	30	133
0.154	43	177
0.153	23	200
0.152	52	252
0.150	181	433
0.148	80	512
0.147	58	570
0.145	226	796
0.144	1,003	1,798
0.143	45	1,843
0.142	50	1,893

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xA2770432A5E6Bd24c347c976b0D815db1f2C1182-1760945846787	Yes	617.73
0x241F...e15a	Yes	525
X-Rabbit.Sezu	Yes	435.59
cat6767	Yes	405.93
rewardbots	Yes	326.2
0xA4C415134B9a2bF11a08B5F52cB77AF900F2e42D-1766616940921	Yes	200
0x6dd7…fc56	Yes	176.48
LornaPredicts	Yes	171.42
molodoyy	Yes	171.13
Haradwaith	Yes	148.1
jporras	Yes	140.1
tradetosurvive1	Yes	124.47
0x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-1761723227494	Yes	117.27
qianyi2026	Yes	105.67
varch01	Yes	100
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	55
AJSV	Yes	44.97
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	40.2
sunnynotbunny	Yes	24.58
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	21.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:17:36	BUY	Yes	0.8299260956	406	$336.89
16:52:16	BUY	Yes	0.7737281088	204	$158.17
15:07:24	BUY	No	0.247	20	$4.94
14:57:15	BUY	No	0.25	13	$3.25
14:06:28	BUY	No	0.168	10	$1.68
14:04:01	BUY	Yes	0.8124163397	326	$265.01
13:57:03	BUY	No	0.2350572766	235	$55.24
13:57:03	BUY	No	0.298686784	215	$64.14
13:57:03	BUY	No	0.4075340611	51	$20.84
13:52:33	BUY	No	0.16	3	$0.55
13:47:16	SELL	Yes	0.8440305	20	$16.88
13:43:25	SELL	Yes	0.849	12	$10.36
13:40:33	SELL	Yes	0.86	22	$18.74
13:37:13	SELL	Yes	0.86	20	$17.20
13:37:06	SELL	Yes	0.86	20	$17.20
13:36:42	SELL	Yes	0.86	38	$32.51
13:36:34	BUY	No	0.1229999994	22	$2.68
13:36:34	BUY	No	0.122	34	$4.15
13:36:34	BUY	No	0.122	34	$4.15
13:36:33	BUY	No	0.1217839414	74	$8.98
13:36:33	BUY	No	0.121	40	$4.84
13:36:33	BUY	No	0.121	33	$3.96
00:05:14	BUY	Yes	0.8959999962	2	$1.87
21:11:10	SELL	No	0.098	19	$1.87
21:11:04	SELL	No	0.1	1	$0.10