0xA4C415134B9a2bF11a08B5F52cB77AF900F2e42D-1766616940921
0xa4c415134b9a2bf11a08b5f52cb77af900f2e42d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $740.9k
- Markets traded
- 431
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded431
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.964Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 17-23?
- +$428.37at 0.960US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$427.53at 0.296Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$356.40at 0.940Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
- +$218.31at 0.594US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 04:17 | Will Lacy & Marlon Win the Jynxzi Fortnite Tournament? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 09-21 01:02 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.0204754 | $3.07 |
| 09-21 01:01 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 09-21 01:00 | Will Lacy & Marlon Win the Jynxzi Fortnite Tournament? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 09-20 16:53 | Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-20 16:52 | Will Ben Dudman win the next Meander Valley mayoral election? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 09-20 16:09 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | SELL | 0.12 | $5.76 |
| 09-20 15:32 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.421 | $84.20 |
| 09-19 21:48 | Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.66 | $38.66 |
| 09-19 21:43 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $41.50 |
| 09-19 00:47 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.74 | $148.00 |
| 09-18 23:22 | Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.299 | $14.38 |
| 09-18 23:07 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | SELL | 0.38 | $38.00 |
| 09-11 12:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.196608958 | $54.74 |
| 09-10 10:20 | LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |