PolyBot

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Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.117. down 0.054 over the period, from 0.171. Range 0.105 to 0.205. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.123126126
0.12450176
0.12640216
0.127106323
0.14550373
0.14916388
0.17340428
0.17440468
0.20340508
0.20695603
0.20750653
0.21046700

Spread0.012Mid0.117

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1114040
0.1102060
0.098199259
0.09720279
0.0328286
0.030100386
0.010100486
0.00397583
0.002170753
0.0012551,008

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8894040
0.8902060
0.902199259
0.90320279
0.9688286
0.970100386
0.990100486
0.99797583
0.998170753
0.9992551,008

Spread0.012Mid0.883

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.877126126
0.87650176
0.87440216
0.873106323
0.85550373
0.85116388
0.82740428
0.82640468
0.79740508
0.79495603
0.79350653
0.79046700

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
caspar1248Yes699.91
molodoyyYes361.33
Stupendous-InnerstateYes329.63
Dr.PNLYes222.56
LornaPredictsYes106.49
dgfd76Yes90.15
FihdrzgddYes75
PERP-RFQYes64.43
pootytherewardfarmerYes50
LonelyScissorsYes46.35
AJSVYes43.31
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
qqqmmmcccYes21
vcfrYes20
gfg434Yes20
0x5be2…202bYes20
6655dfYes20
ivybaby02Yes20
3fdgsddYes20
HerrieDavisYes18

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:10:01SELLNo0.88817$14.83
21:44:15SELLYes0.1055$0.53
11:35:16SELLNo0.86722$18.89
11:04:16SELLNo0.86533$28.29
21:47:13SELLNo0.84810$8.48
20:16:36SELLYes0.154$0.60
17:39:03SELLYes0.160$0.07
15:13:10BUYNo0.84899997714$3.00
15:12:45BUYNo0.8413529412170$143.03
13:23:55SELLYes0.1720$3.40
12:28:48SELLYes0.17520$3.50
12:28:27BUYNo0.81540$32.60
12:27:49BUYNo0.8100114167360$291.60
06:30:28BUYNo0.820$16.00
02:45:06BUYYes0.1695714286140$23.74
01:58:57SELLYes0.185$0.90
20:58:27BUYNo0.81699991644$3.00
20:58:27BUYNo0.81722$17.97
19:40:22BUYNo0.816999998440$32.79
12:53:54SELLYes0.1941997669438$84.96
12:47:12SELLNo0.8255636667120$99.07
12:47:09BUYYes0.1616729749438$70.74
12:47:09BUYYes0.1721$3.57
09:49:58BUYNo0.8514$12.21
05:04:25SELLNo0.82312$9.46