PERP-RFQ
0x7a1be02fe22af87c1ccc1a94ae7653404571e8d0
- Realised P&L
- $-108.62
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $98.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.530 | 0.680 | $13.60 | +$3.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.525 | $10.50 | −$0.10 |
| Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament? · Yes | 0.518 | 0.519 | $10.38 | +$0.02 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? · No | 0.470 | 0.475 | $9.50 | +$0.10 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? · Down | 0.470 | 0.320 | $6.40 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.48 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 4? · Down | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.35at 0.385Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
- +$61.73at 0.597Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5
- +$23.84at 0.650Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5
- +$19.37at 0.650Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 9?
- +$15.86at 0.236Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:19 | Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.51 |
| 08-05 00:58 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 08-04 15:54 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.5155612245 | $5.05 |
| 08-03 11:29 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.39 |
| 08-03 11:29 | Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 08-03 11:29 | Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing? | SELL | 0.6 | $12.00 |
| 07-13 15:01 | Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator? | SELL | 0.139373088 | $77.63 |
| 07-12 22:11 | Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator? | BUY | 0.3681668805 | $47.04 |
| 07-12 21:58 | Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator? | BUY | 0.3730000029 | $48.26 |
| 07-12 20:45 | Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator? | BUY | 0.4690371088 | $141.00 |
| 07-12 02:47 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5974999933 | $30.50 |
| 07-12 02:31 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4380530895 | $22.50 |
| 07-12 02:23 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.757499998 | $38.50 |
| 07-11 22:17 | Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6499999961 | $33.00 |
| 07-11 22:17 | Norway vs. England: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.6489877641 | $11.22 |