PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

6655df

0x935da1fddcffeb463be933f1c25f6098fcc04605

Realised P&L
$-145.17
Volume
$15.9k
Markets traded
294
Open portfolio
$130.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded294
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.6200.610$30.50$0.50
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.9660.963$28.89$0.09
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.8500.967$19.33+$2.33
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.5700.775$15.50+$4.10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8500.970$9.70+$1.20
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6500.860$8.60+$2.10
Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch · Yes0.8000.700$7.00$1.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7000.700$7.00+$0.00
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.1500.121$2.42$0.58
Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.2600.073$1.46$3.74
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07? · No0.4000.000$0.00$12.00
Knicks vs. Cavaliers · Knicks0.3900.000$0.00$11.70
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.9470.000$0.00$28.41
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.9460.000$0.00$18.92
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5400.000$0.00$10.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 07:17Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.966$28.98
09-14 15:11Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.62$31.00
09-14 05:24Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?SELL0.56$11.20
09-14 05:24Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.7$14.00
09-04 07:45Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.57$11.40
08-26 11:55Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.53$5.30
08-26 11:55Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.608$6.08
06-07 14:02Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.919$91.89
05-06 14:49Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?SELL0.45$9.00
03-30 18:09EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.81$40.50
03-22 04:59Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.985$33.51
03-20 08:03Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.408$44.88
03-12 14:25Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 12?BUY0.984$12.99
03-07 04:26Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY0.896$17.92
03-07 04:26US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY0.984$19.68