6655df
0x935da1fddcffeb463be933f1c25f6098fcc04605
- Realised P&L
- $-145.17
- Volume
- $15.9k
- Markets traded
- 294
- Open portfolio
- $130.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded294
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.40at 0.874Bitcoin Up or Down on January 5?
- +$84.70at 0.153Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$63.00at 0.370LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner
- +$27.19at 0.320Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Pablo Carreno Busta
- +$27.00at 0.730LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 07:17 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.966 | $28.98 |
| 09-14 15:11 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.62 | $31.00 |
| 09-14 05:24 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 09-14 05:24 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 09-04 07:45 | Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 08-26 11:55 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 08-26 11:55 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.608 | $6.08 |
| 06-07 14:02 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.919 | $91.89 |
| 05-06 14:49 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 03-30 18:09 | EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 03-22 04:59 | Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.985 | $33.51 |
| 03-20 08:03 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.408 | $44.88 |
| 03-12 14:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 12? | BUY | 0.984 | $12.99 |
| 03-07 04:26 | Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7? | BUY | 0.896 | $17.92 |
| 03-07 04:26 | US forces enter Iran by March 7? | BUY | 0.984 | $19.68 |