PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

ivybaby02

0x97714c2f2737c359f1068b47b895dac84447db67

Realised P&L
$-799.77
Volume
$382.3k
Markets traded
6,620
Open portfolio
$73.24

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,620
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.145$7.25+$4.75
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 0.9T and 1.2T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.0490.050$4.95+$0.02
Will Robert Hamberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Jämtland Härjedalen? · Yes0.0500.501$4.93+$4.44
Will an Independent candidate win the 2026 Nebraska Senate election by 3% or more? · Yes0.0500.150$4.88+$3.25
Will Clara Luz Flores Carrales win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? · Yes0.0500.230$4.60+$3.60
Will Raúl Lozano Caballero win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? · Yes0.0100.155$2.69+$2.52
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0130.024$2.35+$1.05
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? · Yes0.0500.024$2.10−$2.37
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election by 30%-35%? · Yes0.0200.124$1.52+$1.27
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 50% or more? · Yes0.0500.075$1.51+$0.51
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · Yes0.0390.029$1.43−$0.53
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat? · Yes0.0500.130$1.38+$0.85
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-11 House seat? · No0.0500.065$1.30+$0.30
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? · Yes0.0500.205$1.10+$0.83
Will Democrats win 6 or more House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0500.099$0.99+$0.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 15:45Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.62$31.00
09-06 16:02Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.44$41.14
09-06 13:13Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.77$46.20
09-06 13:13Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.77$30.80
09-05 17:53Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.89$89.00
09-05 15:28Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)BUY0.48$24.00
09-05 15:24Manchester City FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.719283765$129.15
09-05 14:19Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.8$234.30
09-05 05:15Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 5?BUY0.38$4.60
09-05 05:15Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 5?BUY0.39$1.95
09-05 04:16Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on September 5?BUY0.3483319433$4.18
09-04 05:32Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 4?BUY0.65$13.00
09-04 05:27Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on September 4?BUY0.6373887792$54.87
08-31 00:03Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.64$10.21
08-17 14:57Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?BUY0.3214751381$11.64
Trader ivybaby02 · PolyBot Pro