gfg434
0x4af862be4c89a9dc188586212e959fcd177e4711
- Realised P&L
- $-14.17
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $174.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.00at 0.140Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$74.00at 0.260LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 3 Winner
- +$41.10at 0.657LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs - Game 3 Winner
- +$38.67at 0.410LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 1 Winner
- +$26.40at 0.780US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 16:30 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.62 | $24.80 |
| 09-14 16:29 | Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 09-09 14:29 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.245 | $4.90 |
| 09-09 14:28 | Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 09-09 14:24 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.225 | $4.50 |
| 09-09 14:20 | Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 09-09 14:08 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 09-09 14:08 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 09-09 14:08 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-09 14:08 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |
| 06-28 12:10 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.989 | $19.77 |
| 06-28 12:10 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.931 | $18.61 |
| 06-28 12:09 | Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 06-28 05:59 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29? | BUY | 0.5802319902 | $4.75 |
| 06-27 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.6731972789 | $4.95 |