PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gfg434

0x4af862be4c89a9dc188586212e959fcd177e4711

Realised P&L
$-14.17
Volume
$6.2k
Markets traded
229
Open portfolio
$174.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded229
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 16:30Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.62$24.80
09-14 16:29Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.65$13.00
09-09 14:29Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.245$4.90
09-09 14:28Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?BUY0.58$11.60
09-09 14:24Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.225$4.50
09-09 14:20Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?BUY0.65$13.00
09-09 14:08Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.7$21.00
09-09 14:08Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.84$42.00
09-09 14:08Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027?SELL0.57$11.40
09-09 14:08Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.62$12.40
06-28 12:10Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?SELL0.989$19.77
06-28 12:10Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.931$18.61
06-28 12:09Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?SELL0.998$19.96
06-28 05:59Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29?BUY0.5802319902$4.75
06-27 15:56Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 28?BUY0.6731972789$4.95