PolyBot

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Will AI solve P versus NP in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.049. up 0.010 over the period, from 0.040. Range 0.038 to 0.056. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0546262
0.0552082
0.05724106
0.05869175
0.060122297
0.061240537
0.07384621
0.07920641
0.080333974
0.08220994
0.588191,013
0.589171,030

Spread0.010Mid0.049

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0446262
0.041132194
0.040355549
0.03826574
0.0236580
0.022266846
0.0214341,280
0.018101,290
0.017201,310
0.012111,321
0.0113341,655
0.0101,0082,663

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9566262
0.959132194
0.960355549
0.96226574
0.9776580
0.978266846
0.9794341,280
0.982101,290
0.983201,310
0.988111,321
0.9893341,655
0.9901,0082,663

Spread0.010Mid0.951

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9466262
0.9452082
0.94324106
0.94269175
0.940122297
0.939240537
0.92784621
0.92120641
0.920333974
0.91820994
0.412191,013
0.411171,030

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes218.52
Diplopia2Yes200
macbethoYes162.92
Dr.PNLYes129.33
0x6b0e…e3eaYes122
Numitus1994Yes42
Miguel262144Yes20
0x651A84eC4AAB705bB3d8f4c831ef46eCdbC622E9-1763158430545Yes10.31
GuyFromTinderYes8.57
obliqYes1.75
NotMasterFanNo334.73
h038596027355No188.88
KolmogorovDoobNo149
dlbbbdbdbdblwNo131.91
TheWindKnowsmyNameNo36
IbnKhaldunNo31.12
aviatoNo25.75
BasilomoNo12.38
lmartradingNo4.04
MajasNo1.55

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:21:04SELLYes0.0427991729259$11.07
18:21:03BUYNo0.959859009389$85.24
23:35:09BUYYes0.0721$1.47
23:34:00BUYYes0.0824$1.92
23:33:58BUYYes0.054101$5.45
23:33:58BUYYes0.070804597722$1.54
08:39:44BUYYes0.04336$1.56
17:03:00BUYYes0.05521$1.16
13:04:15SELLYes0.0440$0.00
12:43:57BUYYes0.0773002875259$20.00
12:38:29BUYYes0.0662082200$13.24
03:48:12BUYYes0.056999999557$3.26
21:34:50SELLNo0.94325$23.57
17:33:00SELLNo0.94430$28.32
18:37:14BUYNo0.96940$38.76
18:11:10BUYNo0.96932$31.26
10:56:55BUYNo0.96940$38.76
21:41:36BUYNo0.96699999322$2.00
21:40:06BUYNo0.969999998110$10.00
10:34:11BUYYes0.03730$1.10
15:50:48BUYNo0.981109$106.93
15:50:20BUYNo0.97940$39.16
15:29:20SELLYes0.01820$0.36
15:29:02BUYNo0.97820$19.56
15:29:00BUYNo0.9690651526168$162.57