h038596027355
0x88b6e6704a2c3bdff2a7b21ce6b1b2e8f3343cff
- Realised P&L
- $13.3k
- Volume
- $3.76M
- Markets traded
- 732
- Open portfolio
- $27.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded732
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.872Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
- +$4.4kat 0.944Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$3.7kat 0.760Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
- +$3.3kat 0.934Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
- +$2.7kat 0.766Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:27 | Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $20.42 |
| 09-16 15:27 | Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.929 | $46.45 |
| 09-16 15:27 | Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.92799636 | $464.00 |
| 09-16 15:27 | Will AI solve the strong Goldbach conjecture in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 09-16 15:26 | Will AI solve the twin prime conjecture in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 09-16 15:26 | Will AI solve the Riemann Hypothesis in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |
| 09-16 15:26 | Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | BUY | 0.9225301939 | $83.26 |
| 09-16 05:41 | Will Saquon Barkley finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? | BUY | 0.95 | $360.68 |
| 09-15 13:58 | Will Saquon Barkley have 1,499.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 09-15 13:57 | Will Devonta Smith finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards? | BUY | 0.9761661818 | $53.69 |
| 09-15 13:55 | Will Saquon Barkley finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? | BUY | 0.94 | $19.74 |
| 09-15 06:28 | Will Saquon Barkley finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards? | BUY | 0.94 | $28.20 |
| 09-15 04:54 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $485.00 |
| 09-15 04:53 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $19.42 |
| 09-15 04:52 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $193.99 |