h038596027355
0x88b6e6704a2c3bdff2a7b21ce6b1b2e8f3343cff
- Realised P&L
- $16.1k
- Volume
- $3.90M
- Markets traded
- 800
- Open portfolio
- $35.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded800
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.0kat 0.872Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
- +$4.4kat 0.944Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$3.7kat 0.760Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?
- +$3.3kat 0.934Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
- +$2.7kat 0.766Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 00:59 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $127.43 |
| 10-28 17:27 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $661.29 |
| 10-28 15:14 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $6.84 |
| 10-28 15:14 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $409.92 |
| 10-28 15:13 | Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $205.04 |
| 10-28 03:28 | Blue mega-tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $113.75 |
| 10-28 03:25 | Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $184.44 |
| 10-28 01:47 | Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $60.00 |
| 10-27 21:58 | Blue tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $50.43 |
| 10-27 21:58 | Blue tsunami in 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $101.80 |
| 10-27 03:12 | Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.59 | $295.00 |
| 10-27 03:10 | Will Devonta Smith finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards? | BUY | 0.9757142857 | $136.60 |
| 10-27 03:07 | Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $920.43 |
| 10-27 03:06 | Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) | BUY | 0.78 | $390.00 |
| 10-26 15:42 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.892 | $459.92 |