aviato
0x2a019dc0089ea8c6edbbafc8a7cc9ba77b4b6397
- Realised P&L
- $178.6k
- Volume
- $30.37M
- Markets traded
- 3,121
- Open portfolio
- $211.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,121
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.9kat 0.091Will the US strike Syria next?
- +$28.8kat 0.474Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$16.4kat 0.508Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$9.2kat 0.870No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$7.5kat 0.916Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:49 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.7905497251 | $790.94 |
| 08-03 01:47 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.789 | $35.30 |
| 08-03 01:47 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? | BUY | 0.8254275093 | $248.68 |
| 08-03 01:47 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.9199525321 | $579.48 |
| 08-03 01:21 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.4k |
| 08-03 00:24 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.9 | $257.75 |
| 08-02 23:28 | Iran leadership change by September 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $5.47 |
| 08-02 14:35 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | BUY | 0.98 | $980.00 |
| 08-02 14:33 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.9k |
| 08-02 14:23 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m? | BUY | 0.9652132196 | $520.59 |
| 08-02 14:10 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 167m and 172m? | BUY | 0.945 | $56.70 |
| 08-02 13:59 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.9k |
| 08-02 13:40 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m? | SELL | 0.02 | $67.50 |
| 08-02 13:39 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 08-02 13:39 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.35 |