PolyBot

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Traders

aviato

0x2a019dc0089ea8c6edbbafc8a7cc9ba77b4b6397

Realised P&L
$194.1k
Volume
$31.73M
Markets traded
3,310
Open portfolio
$161.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,310
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration73.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · No0.8380.920$16.5k+$1.5k
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.9100.967$16.1k+$945.55
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · No0.8320.932$13.2k+$1.4k
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8890.962$11.6k+$876.81
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No0.9180.969$10.0k+$526.03
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No0.8550.921$9.0k+$641.85
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9100.935$7.1k+$191.09
Trump out as President by September 30? · No0.9880.995$6.0k+$39.01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8480.835$5.0k$80.00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · No0.9100.935$4.7k+$125.01
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? · No0.9850.996$4.5k+$47.96
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? · No0.9020.992$3.7k+$334.37
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? · No0.9180.956$2.9k+$111.50
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.9430.940$2.8k$8.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · No0.9750.995$2.8k+$54.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:43Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.965$206.77
09-16 21:49Will "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.94$263.58
09-16 21:48Will "Resident Evil" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.99$50.49
09-16 21:48Will "Resident Evil" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.9935833285$340.66
09-16 14:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$992.00
09-16 14:17Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$2.0k
09-15 22:56Will the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat?SELL0.04$1.47
09-12 15:59Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.96$28.80
09-12 14:34Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?BUY0.992$1.1k
09-12 03:36Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?BUY0.89$186.54
09-12 03:36Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?BUY0.8797415145$207.61
09-12 03:35Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?BUY0.99$84.62
09-11 23:36Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.94$3.1k
09-09 15:22Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.89$1.8k
09-09 14:48Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?BUY0.995$2.9k