aviato
0x2a019dc0089ea8c6edbbafc8a7cc9ba77b4b6397
- Realised P&L
- $194.1k
- Volume
- $31.73M
- Markets traded
- 3,310
- Open portfolio
- $161.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,310
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.3kat 0.083Will the US strike Syria next?
- +$28.8kat 0.474Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$28.6kat 0.267Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$20.4kat 0.161Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?
- +$16.4kat 0.508Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:43 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $206.77 |
| 09-16 21:49 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.94 | $263.58 |
| 09-16 21:48 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.99 | $50.49 |
| 09-16 21:48 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9935833285 | $340.66 |
| 09-16 14:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $992.00 |
| 09-16 14:17 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.0k |
| 09-15 22:56 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.47 |
| 09-12 15:59 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $28.80 |
| 09-12 14:34 | Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.1k |
| 09-12 03:36 | Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m? | BUY | 0.89 | $186.54 |
| 09-12 03:36 | Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m? | BUY | 0.8797415145 | $207.61 |
| 09-12 03:35 | Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m? | BUY | 0.99 | $84.62 |
| 09-11 23:36 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $3.1k |
| 09-09 15:22 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.8k |
| 09-09 14:48 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.9k |