PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NotMasterFan

0x8bc84fc35f5555d5396f433937abb7ed6e4597dc

Realised P&L
$10.5k
Volume
$4.80M
Markets traded
473
Open portfolio
$10.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded473
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9590.955$3.4k−$15.88
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31? · No0.9890.991$2.4k+$3.59
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9730.972$1.9k−$2.03
Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? · No0.9490.948$945.34−$1.65
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9760.977$781.22+$0.10
JD Vance out as VP by December 31? · No0.9600.964$524.17+$1.73
Will CXMT be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8600.845$325.80−$5.78
Will AI solve P versus NP in 2026? · No0.9690.953$55.97−$0.97
Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31? · Yes0.8670.830$49.79−$2.20
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9820.982$43.13+$0.00
Will Unitree be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8600.825$4.13−$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 01:44Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.946$17.59
10-06 01:03New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.92$18.40
10-06 01:03New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.92$9.20
10-06 01:02New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.92$9.20
10-06 00:42New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.92$92.00
10-06 00:38New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.92$27.60
10-06 00:38New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9244642857$41.42
10-06 00:38New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.9132236205$28.30
10-05 01:30JD Vance out as VP by December 31?BUY0.967$19.34
10-04 19:12JD Vance out as VP by December 31?BUY0.964$28.92
10-04 01:40JD Vance out as VP by December 31?BUY0.96$465.73
10-03 14:04Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?SELL0.76$30.40
10-03 13:53Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by December 31?BUY0.97$19.40
10-03 13:52Will the People’s Bank of China increase rates by December 31?BUY0.96$43.20
10-03 11:13Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9$450.00