KolmogorovDoob
0xa61f50fb52d63529e91fbd08b43f44c1c0e8f609
- Realised P&L
- $-27.02
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $230.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.76at 0.797Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.962OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 24?
- +$-0.02at 0.661Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 21?
- +$-0.70at 0.875Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:01 | Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 07:56 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 26? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 01:00 | Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 21? | BUY | 0.8899999858 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 00:57 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 00:53 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $4.36 |
| 09-24 11:46 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9039999103 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 05:55 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 25? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 05:54 | OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 24? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 05:51 | Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 25? | BUY | 0.7090295767 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 05:40 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 05:38 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.899999928 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 05:37 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.075 | $65.87 |
| 09-21 12:38 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $42.00 |
| 09-21 12:37 | Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? | BUY | 0.3261856609 | $16.00 |
| 09-21 12:36 | Will AI solve the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |