dlbbbdbdbdblw
0x369a6f310a8d1bc3322b7bc816405130a6ec0b41
- Realised P&L
- $-62.55
- Volume
- $51.3k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$591.09at 0.803Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$534.27at 0.552Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$125.40at 0.750Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$93.65at 0.520Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
- +$35.28at 0.960Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 02:39 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.815 | $32.60 |
| 09-11 11:55 | Will AI solve P versus NP in 2026? | BUY | 0.938 | $18.75 |
| 09-04 05:15 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.21 |
| 08-11 08:54 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.9217908587 | $665.53 |
| 08-11 04:52 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5617333333 | $210.65 |
| 08-11 04:52 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2489289894 | $93.60 |
| 08-11 01:07 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5339507937 | $336.39 |
| 08-11 01:07 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.219984127 | $138.59 |
| 08-10 11:45 | Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be less than $4.00T at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9016027875 | $258.76 |
| 08-10 09:12 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.962 | $96.20 |
| 08-10 09:04 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $33.44 |
| 08-10 08:55 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $104.94 |
| 08-10 08:55 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.27034445 | $54.07 |
| 07-15 05:42 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.7720333333 | $231.61 |
| 07-15 05:42 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.19 | $57.00 |