Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.30. Range 0.11 to 0.55. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	1,346	1,346
0.22	244	1,590
0.23	905	2,495
0.27	90	2,585
0.28	34	2,619
0.29	55	2,674
0.30	109	2,783
0.31	248	3,031
0.33	162	3,193
0.34	112	3,305
0.35	169	3,474
0.36	123	3,597

Spread0.01Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	1,088	1,088
0.19	180	1,268
0.17	50	1,318
0.13	62	1,379
0.12	20	1,399
0.10	51	1,450
0.07	40	1,490
0.06	353	1,843
0.04	6	1,849
0.03	150	1,999
0.02	271	2,269
0.01	1,025	3,294

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	1,088	1,088
0.81	180	1,268
0.83	50	1,318
0.87	62	1,379
0.88	20	1,399
0.90	51	1,450
0.93	40	1,490
0.94	353	1,843
0.96	6	1,849
0.97	150	1,999
0.98	271	2,269
0.99	1,025	3,294

Spread0.01Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	1,346	1,346
0.78	244	1,590
0.77	905	2,495
0.73	90	2,585
0.72	34	2,619
0.71	55	2,674
0.70	109	2,783
0.69	248	3,031
0.67	162	3,193
0.66	112	3,305
0.65	169	3,474
0.64	123	3,597

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xdc3E831cad	Yes	5,449.22
scrible	Yes	1,411.78
0xdC83474BC4CDf4d037f8BE1EcA21cfa290aaBCD2-1772195983959	Yes	1,396.33
balthazar	Yes	700
cambridgeisaac	Yes	272.53
0x101D3603e466B650AcB902333A85D164Da11922c-1722871196755	Yes	245.25
Dr.PNL	Yes	109.81
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	100
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	73.08
PaddyAlpha	Yes	72.07
donthackme	Yes	53.08
S888	Yes	50
bechamel	Yes	49.99
PiEDawg	Yes	49.76
0xDf273e0fE72a613b27de588aaA5237F3B76ae6E4-1773050216221	Yes	40
LornaPredicts	Yes	39.4
SpringlyFawl	Yes	38
ilovecarrots	Yes	36
KiruaTrading	Yes	33.55
mustbethewater	Yes	30

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:50:54	SELL	Yes	0.2	32	$6.36
21:38:36	SELL	Yes	0.2	0	$0.09
21:37:18	BUY	No	0.78	1	$0.40
21:34:39	BUY	No	0.78	21	$16.38
21:33:00	BUY	No	0.77	10	$7.70
21:33:00	BUY	No	0.7799999845	10	$8.03
21:32:09	BUY	No	0.75	50	$37.50
21:32:07	BUY	No	0.73	98	$71.31
21:32:07	BUY	No	0.73	32	$23.45
21:32:07	BUY	No	0.7241176471	85	$61.55
21:31:27	BUY	No	0.72	23	$16.56
21:31:25	BUY	No	0.72	10	$7.20
21:31:25	BUY	No	0.72	42	$29.92
21:31:25	BUY	No	0.72	18	$13.28
21:31:25	BUY	No	0.72	30	$21.60
21:31:19	BUY	No	0.72	20	$14.41
21:31:19	BUY	No	0.72	6	$4.54
21:31:19	BUY	No	0.72	33	$23.41
12:55:31	SELL	Yes	0.28	4	$1.16
07:58:39	BUY	Yes	0.29	3	$1.01
07:58:37	SELL	Yes	0.28	10	$2.93
19:35:15	SELL	Yes	0.28	44	$12.43
16:27:15	BUY	No	0.71	33	$23.68
16:27:15	BUY	No	0.71	13	$9.09
16:27:15	BUY	No	0.71	10	$7.10